Stock Analysis
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- AIM:PMP
Revenues Not Telling The Story For Portmeirion Group PLC (LON:PMP)
It's not a stretch to say that Portmeirion Group PLC's (LON:PMP) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Consumer Durables industry in the United Kingdom, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
View our latest analysis for Portmeirion Group
How Portmeirion Group Has Been Performing
Recent times haven't been great for Portmeirion Group as its revenue has been falling quicker than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal revenue performance to revert back to industry averages soon, which has kept the P/S from falling. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping it doesn't keep underperforming if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think Portmeirion Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Portmeirion Group?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Portmeirion Group's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 13%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 3.8% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 0.09% over the next year. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 11%, which paints a poor picture.
With this in consideration, we think it doesn't make sense that Portmeirion Group's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company reject the analyst cohort's pessimism and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Portmeirion Group's P/S?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our check of Portmeirion Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue isn't bringing down its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see a gloomy outlook like this, our immediate thoughts are that the share price is at risk of declining, negatively impacting P/S. If the declining revenues were to materialize in the form of a declining share price, shareholders will be feeling the pinch.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Portmeirion Group (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About AIM:PMP
Portmeirion Group
Manufactures, markets, and distributes ceramics, home fragrances, and associated homeware products in the United Kingdom, South Korea, North America, and internationally.