Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That AIREA (LON:AIEA) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

AIM:AIEA
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, AIREA plc (LON:AIEA) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for AIREA

What Is AIREA's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2021, AIREA had UK£4.27m of debt, up from UK£3.90m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds UK£6.23m in cash, so it actually has UK£1.96m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
AIM:AIEA Debt to Equity History December 21st 2021

How Strong Is AIREA's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, AIREA had liabilities of UK£5.32m due within 12 months, and liabilities of UK£4.29m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£6.23m and UK£2.09m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling UK£1.29m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, AIREA has a market capitalization of UK£10.6m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, AIREA boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

But the other side of the story is that AIREA saw its EBIT decline by 9.1% over the last year. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is AIREA's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. AIREA may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, AIREA generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 90% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Summing up

Although AIREA's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of UK£1.96m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of -UK£235k, being 90% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with AIREA's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with AIREA (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.