Stock Analysis

Investors three-year losses continue as Water Intelligence (LON:WATR) dips a further 10% this week, earnings continue to decline

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AIM:WATR

Investing in stocks inevitably means buying into some companies that perform poorly. But long term Water Intelligence plc (LON:WATR) shareholders have had a particularly rough ride in the last three year. Regrettably, they have had to cope with a 65% drop in the share price over that period. And the share price decline continued over the last week, dropping some 10%.

After losing 10% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

Check out our latest analysis for Water Intelligence

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the three years that the share price fell, Water Intelligence's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 10% each year. The share price decline of 30% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, in the past.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

AIM:WATR Earnings Per Share Growth November 27th 2024

We know that Water Intelligence has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 13% in the last year, Water Intelligence shareholders lost 13%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 6% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Water Intelligence you should be aware of.

Of course Water Intelligence may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on British exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Water Intelligence might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.