Alpha Financial Markets Consulting plc

AIM:AFM Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£581.6m

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Alpha Financial Markets Consulting Valuation

Is AFM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AFM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AFM (£5.04) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£6.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AFM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AFM?

Key metric: As AFM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AFM. This is calculated by dividing AFM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AFM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio36.7x
EarningsUK£15.85m
Market CapUK£581.60m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AFM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AFM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29x
ELIX Elixirr International
20.5x15.2%UK£377.3m
WIL Wilmington
20.4x7.3%UK£350.9m
FNTL Fintel
49.6x34.0%UK£292.8m
DWF DWF Group
25.4x47.9%UK£316.4m
AFM Alpha Financial Markets Consulting
36.7xn/aUK£581.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AFM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.7x) compared to the peer average (27.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AFM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Professional Services Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IBPO iEnergizer
1.7xn/aUS$140.06m
TEK Tekcapital
1.5xn/aUS$20.74m
No more companies available in this PE range
AFM 36.7xIndustry Avg. 23.5xNo. of Companies4PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AFM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (36.7x) compared to the UK Professional Services industry average (21.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AFM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AFM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio36.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AFM's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AFM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
UK£5.01
0%
15.4%UK£6.08UK£4.29n/a3
Nov ’25n/a
UK£5.01
0%
15.4%UK£6.08UK£4.29n/a3
Oct ’25n/a
UK£5.01
0%
15.4%UK£6.08UK£4.29n/a3
Sep ’25n/a
UK£5.01
0%
15.4%UK£6.08UK£4.29n/a3
Aug ’25UK£4.98
UK£4.85
-2.5%
14.1%UK£6.08UK£4.20n/a5
Jul ’25UK£4.97
UK£4.85
-2.3%
14.1%UK£6.08UK£4.20n/a5
Jun ’25UK£4.09
UK£4.84
+18.4%
14.0%UK£6.08UK£4.20n/a5
May ’25UK£4.65
UK£4.57
-1.8%
16.9%UK£6.08UK£3.95n/a5
Apr ’25UK£3.24
UK£4.57
+40.9%
16.9%UK£6.08UK£3.95n/a5
Mar ’25UK£3.50
UK£4.65
+32.8%
15.5%UK£6.08UK£4.20n/a5
Feb ’25UK£3.65
UK£5.06
+38.5%
18.7%UK£6.72UK£4.20n/a5
Jan ’25UK£3.90
UK£5.06
+29.6%
18.7%UK£6.72UK£4.20n/a5
Dec ’24UK£3.60
UK£5.06
+40.4%
18.7%UK£6.72UK£4.20n/a5
Nov ’24UK£3.70
UK£5.08
+37.2%
18.9%UK£6.72UK£4.20n/a5
Oct ’24UK£3.45
UK£5.71
+65.4%
10.0%UK£6.72UK£5.00n/a5
Sep ’24UK£3.50
UK£5.71
+63.0%
10.0%UK£6.72UK£5.00n/a5
Aug ’24UK£3.85
UK£5.71
+48.2%
10.0%UK£6.72UK£5.00UK£4.985
Jul ’24UK£3.93
UK£5.71
+45.4%
10.0%UK£6.72UK£5.00UK£4.975
Jun ’24UK£4.55
UK£5.69
+25.0%
7.3%UK£6.48UK£5.30UK£4.095
May ’24UK£4.65
UK£5.72
+22.9%
7.1%UK£6.48UK£5.30UK£4.656
Apr ’24UK£4.26
UK£5.72
+34.2%
7.1%UK£6.48UK£5.30UK£3.246
Mar ’24UK£4.65
UK£5.53
+18.9%
7.3%UK£6.17UK£5.14UK£3.506
Feb ’24UK£4.80
UK£5.52
+14.9%
6.8%UK£6.17UK£5.14UK£3.657
Jan ’24UK£4.75
UK£5.52
+16.1%
6.8%UK£6.17UK£5.14UK£3.907
Dec ’23UK£4.87
UK£5.52
+13.3%
6.8%UK£6.17UK£5.14UK£3.607
Nov ’23UK£3.75
UK£5.13
+36.9%
12.4%UK£6.05UK£4.50UK£3.706

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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