Alligo AB (publ)

LSE:0RTK Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 6.1b

Alligo Valuation

Is 0RTK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0RTK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0RTK (SEK125) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK400.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0RTK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0RTK?

Key metric: As 0RTK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0RTK. This is calculated by dividing 0RTK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0RTK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.1x
EarningsSEK 356.00m
Market CapSEK 6.10b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0RTK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0RTK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13x
AT. Ashtead Technology Holdings
16.8x18.2%UK£411.1m
LTHM James Latham
11.5x-3.4%UK£259.5m
ASY Andrews Sykes Group
12.5xn/aUK£215.6m
MACF Macfarlane Group
11.3x9.2%UK£166.4m
0RTK Alligo
17.1x33.4%SEK 6.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0RTK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x) compared to the peer average (13x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0RTK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Trade Distributors Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0RTK 17.1xIndustry Avg. 14.5xNo. of Companies10PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0RTK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x) compared to the European Trade Distributors industry average (14.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0RTK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0RTK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.1x
Fair PE Ratio26.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0RTK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0RTK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 125.00
SEK 167.50
+34.0%
4.5%SEK 175.00SEK 160.00n/a2
Nov ’25SEK 125.60
SEK 167.50
+33.4%
4.5%SEK 175.00SEK 160.00n/a2
Oct ’25SEK 143.80
SEK 177.50
+23.4%
1.4%SEK 180.00SEK 175.00n/a2
Sep ’25SEK 138.60
SEK 177.50
+28.1%
1.4%SEK 180.00SEK 175.00n/a2
Aug ’25SEK 141.60
SEK 177.50
+25.4%
1.4%SEK 180.00SEK 175.00n/a2
Jul ’25SEK 146.40
SEK 177.50
+21.2%
1.4%SEK 180.00SEK 175.00n/a2
Jun ’25SEK 139.00
SEK 177.50
+27.7%
1.4%SEK 180.00SEK 175.00n/a2
May ’25SEK 129.60
SEK 177.50
+37.0%
1.4%SEK 180.00SEK 175.00n/a2
Apr ’25SEK 154.00
SEK 177.50
+15.3%
1.4%SEK 180.00SEK 175.00n/a2
Feb ’25SEK 132.80
SEK 137.50
+3.5%
1.8%SEK 140.00SEK 135.00n/a2
Jan ’25SEK 124.01
SEK 137.50
+10.9%
1.8%SEK 140.00SEK 135.00n/a2
Dec ’24SEK 102.60
SEK 137.50
+34.0%
1.8%SEK 140.00SEK 135.00n/a2
Nov ’24SEK 89.18
SEK 137.50
+54.2%
1.8%SEK 140.00SEK 135.00SEK 125.602
Feb ’24n/a
SEK 129.50
0%
8.1%SEK 140.00SEK 119.00SEK 132.802
Jan ’24SEK 78.30
SEK 125.00
+59.6%
12.0%SEK 140.00SEK 110.00SEK 124.012
Dec ’23SEK 80.40
SEK 125.00
+55.5%
12.0%SEK 140.00SEK 110.00SEK 102.602
Nov ’23SEK 89.50
SEK 125.00
+39.7%
12.0%SEK 140.00SEK 110.00SEK 89.182

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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