Alligo Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 0RTK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

0RTK (SEK142.8) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (SEK461.26)

Is 0RTK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0RTK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0RTK (SEK142.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK461.26)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0RTK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0RTK?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for 0RTK. This is calculated by dividing 0RTK's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is 0RTK's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	SEK 7.09b

0RTK key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	11.4x
PEG Ratio	0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0RTK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0RTK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	14.2x
AT. Ashtead Technology Holdings	19.3x	14.1%	UK£473.8m
LTHM James Latham	12.1x	-3.4%	UK£274.5m
ASY Andrews Sykes Group	13.1x	n/a	UK£226.0m
MACF Macfarlane Group	12.1x	9.2%	UK£178.3m
0RTK Alligo	17.3x	23.7%	SEK 7.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0RTK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x) compared to the peer average (14.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0RTK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Trade Distributors Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	9.2%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	9.2%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0RTK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x) compared to the European Trade Distributors industry average (16.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0RTK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0RTK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	17.3x
Fair PE Ratio	24.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0RTK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0RTK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	SEK 142.80	SEK 177.50 +24.3%	1.4%	SEK 180.00	SEK 175.00	n/a	2
Sep ’25	SEK 138.60	SEK 177.50 +28.1%	1.4%	SEK 180.00	SEK 175.00	n/a	2
Aug ’25	SEK 141.60	SEK 177.50 +25.4%	1.4%	SEK 180.00	SEK 175.00	n/a	2
Jul ’25	SEK 146.40	SEK 177.50 +21.2%	1.4%	SEK 180.00	SEK 175.00	n/a	2
Jun ’25	SEK 139.00	SEK 177.50 +27.7%	1.4%	SEK 180.00	SEK 175.00	n/a	2
May ’25	SEK 129.60	SEK 177.50 +37.0%	1.4%	SEK 180.00	SEK 175.00	n/a	2
Apr ’25	SEK 154.00	SEK 177.50 +15.3%	1.4%	SEK 180.00	SEK 175.00	n/a	2
Feb ’25	SEK 132.80	SEK 137.50 +3.5%	1.8%	SEK 140.00	SEK 135.00	n/a	2
Jan ’25	SEK 124.01	SEK 137.50 +10.9%	1.8%	SEK 140.00	SEK 135.00	n/a	2
Dec ’24	SEK 102.60	SEK 137.50 +34.0%	1.8%	SEK 140.00	SEK 135.00	n/a	2
Nov ’24	SEK 89.18	SEK 137.50 +54.2%	1.8%	SEK 140.00	SEK 135.00	n/a	2
Feb ’24	n/a	SEK 129.50 0%	8.1%	SEK 140.00	SEK 119.00	SEK 132.80	2
Jan ’24	SEK 78.30	SEK 125.00 +59.6%	12.0%	SEK 140.00	SEK 110.00	SEK 124.01	2
Dec ’23	SEK 80.40	SEK 125.00 +55.5%	12.0%	SEK 140.00	SEK 110.00	SEK 102.60	2
Nov ’23	SEK 89.50	SEK 125.00 +39.7%	12.0%	SEK 140.00	SEK 110.00	SEK 89.18	2
Oct ’23	SEK 78.31	SEK 147.50 +88.4%	11.9%	SEK 165.00	SEK 130.00	SEK 102.20	2
Sep ’23	SEK 94.00	SEK 147.50 +56.9%	11.9%	SEK 165.00	SEK 130.00	SEK 103.27	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.