Fincantieri Valuation
Is 0QWN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 0QWN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 0QWN (€5.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€6.85)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 0QWN is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0QWN?
Key metric: As 0QWN is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is 0QWN's PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 0.2x |
| Sales | €7.46b |
| Market Cap | €1.84b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.6x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 14.9x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does 0QWN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 1.9x | ||
SOM Somero Enterprises | 1.6x | n/a | UK£148.3m |
VSVS Vesuvius | 0.6x | 2.0% | UK£1.1b |
BOY Bodycote | 1.4x | 2.8% | UK£1.1b |
ROR Rotork | 3.8x | 4.5% | UK£2.8b |
0QWN Fincantieri | 0.2x | 7.2% | €1.8b |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 0QWN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (1.9x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does 0QWN's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Machinery Industry?
| 4 Companies | Price / Sales | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Avg. | 1.7x | 4.7% | |
0QWN Fincantieri | 0.2x | 7.2% | US$1.92b |
HMSG HMS Hydraulic Machines & Systems Group | 0.08x | 4.0% | US$81.11m |
HARL Harland & Wolff Group Holdings | 0.2x | n/a | US$19.39m |
| 4 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Avg. | 1.7x | 14.2% | |
0QWN Fincantieri | 0.2x | 77.6% | US$1.92b |
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 0QWN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the UK Machinery industry average (1.7x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 0QWN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 0.2x |
| Fair PS Ratio | 0.7x |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 0QWN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | €5.70 | €6.03 +5.9% | 11.0% | €7.20 | €5.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Nov ’25 | €5.25 | €5.80 +10.5% | 8.4% | €6.50 | €5.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Oct ’25 | €4.61 | €5.57 +20.9% | 15.9% | €6.50 | €3.70 | n/a | 7 |
| Sep ’25 | €5.05 | €5.67 +12.3% | 16.3% | €6.50 | €3.70 | n/a | 6 |
| Aug ’25 | €5.10 | €5.70 +11.8% | 16.2% | €6.50 | €3.70 | n/a | 6 |
| Jul ’25 | €5.03 | €5.22 +3.9% | 19.0% | €6.22 | €3.70 | n/a | 5 |
| Jun ’25 | €5.91 | €5.85 -1.0% | 5.1% | €6.20 | €5.40 | n/a | 4 |
| May ’25 | €7.18 | €5.82 -18.9% | 4.7% | €6.20 | €5.40 | n/a | 5 |
| Apr ’25 | €6.85 | €5.82 -15.0% | 4.7% | €6.20 | €5.40 | n/a | 5 |
| Mar ’25 | €4.95 | €5.35 +8.1% | 4.7% | €5.70 | €5.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Feb ’25 | €4.87 | €5.25 +7.9% | 5.5% | €5.70 | €5.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Jan ’25 | €5.57 | €5.25 -5.7% | 5.5% | €5.70 | €5.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Dec ’24 | €5.35 | €5.25 -1.9% | 5.5% | €5.70 | €5.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Nov ’24 | €5.08 | €5.25 +3.3% | 5.5% | €5.70 | €5.00 | €5.25 | 4 |
| Oct ’24 | €4.72 | €5.10 +8.2% | 7.7% | €5.70 | €4.50 | €4.61 | 5 |
| Sep ’24 | €5.18 | €5.10 -1.5% | 7.7% | €5.70 | €4.50 | €5.05 | 5 |
| Aug ’24 | €5.22 | €5.10 -2.3% | 7.7% | €5.70 | €4.50 | €5.10 | 5 |
| Jul ’24 | €5.10 | €4.98 -2.5% | 9.1% | €5.70 | €4.50 | €5.03 | 4 |
| Jun ’24 | €5.22 | €4.98 -4.7% | 9.1% | €5.70 | €4.50 | €5.91 | 4 |
| May ’24 | €5.52 | €4.96 -10.1% | 6.9% | €5.50 | €4.50 | €7.18 | 5 |
| Apr ’24 | €5.94 | €4.96 -16.5% | 6.9% | €5.50 | €4.50 | €6.85 | 5 |
| Mar ’24 | €6.04 | €5.18 -14.3% | 6.0% | €5.70 | €4.90 | €4.95 | 4 |
| Feb ’24 | €6.14 | €5.04 -17.9% | 7.7% | €5.70 | €4.50 | €4.87 | 5 |
| Jan ’24 | €5.33 | €5.04 -5.4% | 7.7% | €5.70 | €4.50 | €5.57 | 5 |
| Dec ’23 | €5.52 | €5.04 -8.7% | 7.7% | €5.70 | €4.50 | €5.35 | 5 |
| Nov ’23 | €5.25 | €5.18 -1.3% | 8.6% | €5.80 | €4.50 | €5.08 | 5 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
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