CNH Industrial N.V.

LSE:0QGU Stock Report

Market Cap: €13.7b

CNH Industrial Valuation

Is 0QGU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0QGU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0QGU (€12) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€13.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0QGU is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0QGU?

Key metric: As 0QGU is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0QGU. This is calculated by dividing 0QGU's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0QGU's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.1x
EarningsUS$1.75b
Market CapUS$14.15b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0QGU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0QGU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.3x
BNZL Bunzl
22.4x7.1%UK£10.9b
WEIR Weir Group
25.8x18.5%UK£5.7b
IMI IMI
18.6x12.2%UK£4.7b
SPX Spirax Group
26.3x8.5%UK£5.0b
0QGU CNH Industrial
8.1x-0.3%€14.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0QGU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.1x) compared to the peer average (23.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0QGU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0QGU 8.1xIndustry Avg. 17.6xNo. of Companies27PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0QGU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.1x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0QGU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0QGU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.1x
Fair PE Ratio20.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0QGU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0QGU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€13.17
0%
16.8%€17.36€9.65n/a18
Dec ’25€11.78
€12.42
+5.4%
15.4%€17.04€9.47n/a19
Nov ’25€10.45
€12.58
+20.5%
16.4%€16.69€9.27n/a19
Oct ’25€10.09
€12.29
+21.8%
16.6%€16.11€8.95n/a20
Sep ’25n/a
€12.55
0%
16.5%€16.24€9.02n/a19
Aug ’25€9.84
€13.44
+36.6%
13.5%€16.68€9.27n/a19
Jul ’25n/a
€14.14
0%
11.5%€16.85€11.24n/a19
Jun ’25€9.93
€13.75
+38.5%
11.3%€16.41€11.06n/a18
May ’25€10.56
€14.32
+35.6%
9.7%€16.90€12.20n/a18
Apr ’25€11.88
€14.02
+18.0%
9.7%€16.48€11.63n/a18
Mar ’25€11.02
€13.98
+26.9%
10.5%€17.58€11.75n/a18
Feb ’25€11.26
€13.76
+22.2%
19.2%€23.00€10.58n/a19
Jan ’25€10.85
€14.52
+33.9%
19.6%€22.93€10.55n/a16
Dec ’24€10.22
€14.55
+42.3%
19.8%€22.99€10.57€11.7815
Nov ’24€10.33
€16.50
+59.7%
24.0%€29.27€13.22€10.4514
Oct ’24€11.64
€17.14
+47.3%
21.2%€29.51€13.33€10.0915
Sep ’24€12.79
€16.97
+32.6%
19.5%€28.41€14.21n/a16
Aug ’24€13.27
€17.11
+29.0%
19.1%€28.19€14.10€9.8415
Jul ’24€13.19
€17.81
+35.1%
18.1%€28.52€14.47n/a15
Jun ’24€12.08
€18.03
+49.3%
17.5%€28.81€14.62€9.9316
May ’24€12.75
€17.75
+39.2%
17.0%€28.28€14.69€10.5617
Apr ’24€14.08
€17.99
+27.7%
17.1%€28.58€14.84€11.8817
Mar ’24€15.50
€18.38
+18.6%
17.1%€29.22€15.18€11.0217
Feb ’24€16.29
€17.76
+9.0%
17.5%€28.53€14.16€11.2617
Jan ’24€15.10
€16.82
+11.4%
10.8%€19.78€13.36€10.8516

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 04:16
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

CNH Industrial N.V. is covered by 44 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Hans-Peter WodniokAlphaValue
Fabrizio SpagnaAxia Financial Research
Mircea DobreBaird