Vinci Valuation

Is 0NQM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0NQM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0NQM (€110.33) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€132.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0NQM is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0NQM?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0NQM key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.7x
PEG Ratio2.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0NQM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0NQM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average10.9x
BBY Balfour Beatty
9.7x5.6%UK£1.9b
MGNS Morgan Sindall Group
8.9x2.4%UK£1.0b
KLR Keller Group
9x5.9%UK£805.7m
RNWH Renew Holdings
15.9x0.4%UK£747.9m
0NQM Vinci
13.4x5.3%€62.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0NQM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the peer average (10.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0NQM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Construction Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0NQM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the European Construction industry average (13.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0NQM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0NQM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.4x
Fair PE Ratio32.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0NQM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0NQM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€110.33
€133.26
+20.8%
5.3%€145.00€117.00n/a19
Apr ’25€118.74
€133.33
+12.3%
6.1%€151.00€117.00n/a18
Mar ’25€117.37
€133.61
+13.8%
6.0%€151.00€117.00n/a18
Feb ’25€117.07
€130.53
+11.5%
6.6%€150.00€113.00n/a19
Jan ’25€113.73
€127.11
+11.8%
5.1%€138.00€113.00n/a19
Dec ’24€113.25
€124.84
+10.2%
5.0%€138.00€113.00n/a19
Nov ’24€105.27
€124.84
+18.6%
5.0%€138.00€113.00n/a19
Oct ’24€105.12
€126.05
+19.9%
5.5%€141.00€113.00n/a19
Sep ’24€102.90
€126.10
+22.5%
5.3%€141.00€113.00n/a19
Aug ’24€104.87
€126.10
+20.2%
5.3%€141.00€113.00n/a19
Jul ’24€106.36
€124.08
+16.7%
7.2%€141.00€103.69n/a20
Jun ’24€106.85
€123.08
+15.2%
6.8%€141.00€103.69n/a20
May ’24€112.16
€123.08
+9.7%
6.8%€141.00€103.69€110.3320
Apr ’24€105.81
€121.60
+14.9%
6.7%€140.00€103.69€118.7421
Mar ’24€107.81
€120.41
+11.7%
7.8%€140.00€103.69€117.3721
Feb ’24€104.04
€114.38
+9.9%
6.3%€133.00€103.69€117.0721
Jan ’24€93.62
€112.29
+19.9%
5.5%€124.00€103.69€113.7321
Dec ’23€98.26
€111.17
+13.1%
6.4%€124.00€94.50€113.2521
Nov ’23€94.37
€111.50
+18.2%
6.2%€124.00€94.50€105.2721
Oct ’23€82.99
€112.70
+35.8%
5.0%€124.00€104.79€105.1220
Sep ’23€91.71
€112.70
+22.9%
5.0%€124.00€104.79€102.9020
Aug ’23€92.28
€111.85
+21.2%
5.1%€124.00€101.00€104.8720
Jul ’23€85.84
€111.08
+29.4%
5.9%€124.00€98.00€106.3620
Jun ’23€89.36
€111.40
+24.7%
6.1%€124.00€98.00€106.8519
May ’23€92.74
€110.86
+19.5%
6.3%€124.00€98.00€112.1620

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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