Krones Valuation

Is 0LQ4 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0LQ4 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0LQ4 (€118.26) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€523.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0LQ4 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0LQ4?

Key metric: As 0LQ4 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0LQ4. This is calculated by dividing 0LQ4's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0LQ4's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.9x
Earnings€249.41m
Market Cap€3.72b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0LQ4's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0LQ4 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.6x
ROR Rotork
23.5x9.9%UK£2.8b
IMI IMI
17.7x12.0%UK£4.5b
SPX Spirax Group
27.5x9.0%UK£5.3b
WEIR Weir Group
25.7x18.4%UK£5.7b
0LQ4 Krones
14.9x16.2%€3.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0LQ4 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the peer average (23.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0LQ4's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0LQ4 14.9xIndustry Avg. 17.4xNo. of Companies31PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0LQ4 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0LQ4's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0LQ4 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.9x
Fair PE Ratio21.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0LQ4 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0LQ4 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€117.60
€151.11
+28.5%
8.4%€170.00€125.00n/a9
Nov ’25€119.80
€152.33
+27.2%
8.7%€172.00€127.00n/a9
Oct ’25€129.13
€152.33
+18.0%
8.7%€172.00€127.00n/a9
Sep ’25€124.51
€152.33
+22.3%
8.7%€172.00€127.00n/a9
Aug ’25€121.20
€152.80
+26.1%
7.9%€172.00€130.00n/a10
Jul ’25€118.47
€145.40
+22.7%
6.5%€163.00€130.00n/a10
Jun ’25€126.58
€145.40
+14.9%
6.5%€163.00€130.00n/a10
May ’25€124.20
€142.70
+14.9%
6.6%€163.00€129.00n/a10
Apr ’25€122.24
€137.10
+12.2%
8.2%€158.00€112.00n/a10
Mar ’25€115.00
€136.60
+18.8%
8.2%€158.00€112.00n/a10
Feb ’25€116.01
€133.80
+15.3%
8.2%€156.00€112.00n/a10
Jan ’25€112.50
€131.70
+17.1%
8.1%€156.00€112.00n/a10
Dec ’24€104.80
€131.70
+25.7%
8.1%€156.00€112.00n/a10
Nov ’24€90.22
€132.30
+46.6%
9.1%€164.00€115.00€119.8010
Oct ’24€98.81
€132.30
+33.9%
9.1%€164.00€115.00€129.1310
Sep ’24€99.52
€130.90
+31.5%
10.4%€164.00€110.00€124.5110
Aug ’24€103.05
€131.00
+27.1%
10.4%€164.00€110.00€121.2010
Jul ’24€111.25
€130.40
+17.2%
9.2%€156.00€110.00€118.4710
Jun ’24€104.19
€129.30
+24.1%
9.9%€156.00€110.00€126.5810
May ’24€119.17
€128.40
+7.7%
10.4%€156.00€110.00€124.2010
Apr ’24€108.93
€125.70
+15.4%
9.3%€148.00€110.00€122.2410
Mar ’24€115.62
€124.70
+7.9%
9.3%€148.00€110.00€115.0010
Feb ’24€107.51
€117.00
+8.8%
9.4%€138.00€97.00€116.0110
Jan ’24€105.15
€117.00
+11.3%
9.4%€138.00€97.00€112.5010
Dec ’23€108.93
€116.82
+7.2%
9.0%€138.00€97.00€104.8011
Nov ’23€94.73
€113.64
+20.0%
9.9%€129.00€90.00€90.2211

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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