Iveco Group Valuation

Is 0AB5 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0AB5 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0AB5 (€9.07) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€13.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0AB5 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0AB5?

Key metric: As 0AB5 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0AB5. This is calculated by dividing 0AB5's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0AB5's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.3x
Earnings€233.00m
Market Cap€2.41b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0AB5's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0AB5 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.8x
SOM Somero Enterprises
7.9xn/aUK£147.2m
ROR Rotork
23.4x8.9%UK£2.8b
BOY Bodycote
17.8x20.2%UK£1.1b
VSVS Vesuvius
10.1x11.9%UK£1.1b
0AB5 Iveco Group
10.3x31.9%€2.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0AB5 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the peer average (14.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0AB5's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0AB5 10.3xIndustry Avg. 17.4xNo. of Companies29PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0AB5 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0AB5's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0AB5 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.3x
Fair PE Ratio30.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0AB5 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0AB5 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.07
€13.98
+54.1%
13.9%€16.80€10.50n/a9
Nov ’25€9.58
€14.28
+49.1%
14.5%€16.80€10.50n/a9
Oct ’25€8.99
€14.31
+59.2%
13.3%€16.80€10.50n/a10
Sep ’25€9.52
€14.71
+54.5%
14.9%€18.00€10.50n/a10
Aug ’25€9.12
€14.76
+61.9%
15.1%€18.00€10.50n/a10
Jul ’25€10.72
€15.46
+44.2%
16.3%€20.00€11.50n/a10
Jun ’25€10.98
€15.46
+40.9%
16.3%€20.00€11.50n/a10
May ’25€11.81
€15.66
+32.7%
16.5%€21.00€11.50n/a10
Apr ’25€13.80
€15.45
+12.0%
16.8%€21.00€11.50n/a10
Mar ’25€11.97
€13.20
+10.3%
22.6%€20.00€8.00n/a10
Feb ’25€9.95
€11.12
+11.8%
18.9%€13.20€7.50n/a10
Jan ’25€8.18
€10.55
+28.9%
19.5%€13.50€7.50n/a10
Dec ’24€7.59
€10.55
+39.1%
19.5%€13.50€7.50n/a10
Nov ’24€7.25
€11.26
+55.3%
17.4%€14.10€8.00€9.589
Oct ’24€8.90
€11.31
+27.1%
17.8%€14.10€8.00€8.999
Sep ’24€9.14
€11.25
+23.1%
17.0%€14.10€8.00€9.5210
Aug ’24€8.79
€10.19
+15.9%
19.7%€12.70€7.00€9.129
Jul ’24€8.17
€10.14
+24.2%
19.4%€12.50€7.00€10.729
Jun ’24€7.03
€10.09
+43.4%
19.2%€12.50€7.00€10.989
May ’24€8.15
€10.02
+23.0%
17.0%€12.00€7.50€11.819
Apr ’24€8.79
€9.69
+10.2%
16.5%€12.00€7.00€13.809
Mar ’24€8.98
€9.54
+6.2%
16.4%€12.00€7.00€11.979
Feb ’24€7.59
€8.38
+10.4%
18.3%€10.00€5.00€9.959
Jan ’24€5.57
€8.32
+49.2%
22.3%€10.00€5.15€8.188
Dec ’23€6.51
€8.32
+27.9%
22.3%€10.00€5.15€7.598
Nov ’23€5.52
€8.12
+47.2%
21.9%€10.00€5.15€7.258

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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