Iveco Group Valuation

Is IVGM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of IVGM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: IVGM (€10.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€14.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: IVGM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for IVGM?

Key metric: As IVGM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for IVGM. This is calculated by dividing IVGM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is IVGM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.3x
Earnings€233.00m
Market Cap€2.41b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does IVGM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for IVGM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.8x
SOM Somero Enterprises
7.9xn/aUK£147.2m
ROR Rotork
23.4x8.9%UK£2.8b
BOY Bodycote
17.8x20.2%UK£1.1b
VSVS Vesuvius
10.1x11.9%UK£1.1b
IVGM Iveco Group
10.3x31.9%€2.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: IVGM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the peer average (14.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does IVGM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies29PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: IVGM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.3x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is IVGM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

IVGM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate IVGM's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst IVGM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€13.98
0%
13.9%€16.80€10.50n/a9
Nov ’25€9.53
€14.28
+49.8%
14.5%€16.80€10.50n/a9
Oct ’25n/a
€14.31
0%
13.3%€16.80€10.50n/a10
Sep ’25n/a
€14.71
0%
14.9%€18.00€10.50n/a10
Aug ’25€9.38
€14.76
+57.4%
15.1%€18.00€10.50n/a10
Jul ’25€10.60
€15.46
+45.9%
16.3%€20.00€11.50n/a10
Jun ’25n/a
€15.46
0%
16.3%€20.00€11.50n/a10
May ’25n/a
€15.66
0%
16.5%€21.00€11.50n/a10
Apr ’25n/a
€15.45
0%
16.8%€21.00€11.50n/a10
Mar ’25€11.86
€13.20
+11.3%
22.6%€20.00€8.00n/a10
Feb ’25n/a
€11.12
0%
18.9%€13.20€7.50n/a10
Jan ’25€8.22
€10.55
+28.4%
19.5%€13.50€7.50n/a10
Dec ’24n/a
€10.55
0%
19.5%€13.50€7.50n/a10
Nov ’24€7.30
€11.26
+54.2%
17.4%€14.10€8.00€9.539
Oct ’24€8.97
€11.31
+26.1%
17.8%€14.10€8.00n/a9
Sep ’24€9.18
€11.25
+22.5%
17.0%€14.10€8.00n/a10
Aug ’24n/a
€10.19
0%
19.7%€12.70€7.00€9.389
Jul ’24n/a
€10.14
0%
19.4%€12.50€7.00€10.609
Jun ’24n/a
€10.09
0%
19.2%€12.50€7.00n/a9
May ’24n/a
€10.02
0%
17.0%€12.00€7.50n/a9
Apr ’24n/a
€9.69
0%
16.5%€12.00€7.00n/a9
Mar ’24n/a
€9.54
0%
16.4%€12.00€7.00€11.869
Feb ’24n/a
€8.38
0%
18.3%€10.00€5.00n/a9
Jan ’24n/a
€8.32
0%
22.3%€10.00€5.15€8.228
Dec ’23€6.48
€8.32
+28.3%
22.3%€10.00€5.15n/a8
Nov ’23€5.48
€8.12
+48.2%
21.9%€10.00€5.15€7.308

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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