Georg Fischer Valuation

Is GFZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GFZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GFZ (CHF66.55) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF80.17)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GFZ is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GFZ?

Key metric: As GFZ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for GFZ. This is calculated by dividing GFZ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is GFZ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.9x
EarningsCHF 209.00m
Market CapCHF 5.42b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does GFZ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for GFZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.5x
IMI IMI
17.7x12.0%UK£4.5b
SPX Spirax Group
26.6x9.0%UK£5.1b
WEIR Weir Group
25.9x19.0%UK£5.7b
ROR Rotork
23.7x8.9%UK£2.8b
GFZ Georg Fischer
25.9x18.2%CHF 5.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: GFZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.9x) compared to the peer average (23.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GFZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies30PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: GFZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.9x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GFZ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GFZ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.9x
Fair PE Ratio24.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: GFZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GFZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 66.55
CHF 75.83
+13.9%
6.6%CHF 82.00CHF 70.00n/a6
Nov ’25CHF 62.73
CHF 74.50
+18.8%
5.0%CHF 80.00CHF 70.00n/a6
Oct ’25CHF 62.75
CHF 75.33
+20.1%
5.7%CHF 80.00CHF 70.00n/a6
Sep ’25CHF 66.70
CHF 75.50
+13.2%
5.4%CHF 80.00CHF 70.00n/a6
Aug ’25CHF 64.65
CHF 75.50
+16.8%
5.4%CHF 80.00CHF 70.00n/a6
Jul ’25CHF 60.20
CHF 75.00
+24.6%
7.2%CHF 82.00CHF 66.00n/a7
Jun ’25CHF 64.78
CHF 75.14
+16.0%
6.8%CHF 82.00CHF 67.00n/a7
May ’25CHF 64.75
CHF 74.43
+14.9%
6.4%CHF 82.00CHF 67.00n/a7
Apr ’25CHF 66.75
CHF 72.00
+7.9%
10.9%CHF 82.00CHF 56.00n/a7
Mar ’25CHF 66.05
CHF 70.43
+6.6%
9.1%CHF 77.00CHF 56.00n/a7
Feb ’25CHF 58.70
CHF 69.67
+18.7%
9.7%CHF 77.00CHF 56.00n/a6
Jan ’25CHF 61.05
CHF 69.67
+14.1%
9.7%CHF 77.00CHF 56.00n/a6
Dec ’24CHF 57.35
CHF 69.17
+20.6%
9.0%CHF 75.00CHF 56.00n/a6
Nov ’24CHF 46.36
CHF 69.92
+50.8%
10.2%CHF 75.00CHF 54.50CHF 62.736
Oct ’24CHF 51.90
CHF 72.43
+39.5%
3.2%CHF 75.00CHF 69.55CHF 62.756
Sep ’24CHF 57.55
CHF 73.76
+28.2%
3.9%CHF 77.00CHF 69.55CHF 66.706
Aug ’24CHF 59.35
CHF 75.59
+27.4%
5.9%CHF 81.00CHF 69.55CHF 64.656
Jul ’24CHF 67.05
CHF 75.67
+12.9%
5.7%CHF 81.00CHF 70.00CHF 60.206
Jun ’24CHF 60.30
CHF 74.79
+24.0%
7.6%CHF 81.00CHF 63.50CHF 64.787
May ’24CHF 64.40
CHF 74.97
+16.4%
7.1%CHF 81.00CHF 64.80CHF 64.757
Apr ’24CHF 70.85
CHF 71.69
+1.2%
9.2%CHF 80.00CHF 60.00CHF 66.757
Mar ’24CHF 67.50
CHF 65.86
-2.4%
9.9%CHF 72.00CHF 53.00CHF 66.057
Feb ’24CHF 63.30
CHF 65.14
+2.9%
9.7%CHF 72.00CHF 53.00CHF 58.707
Jan ’24CHF 56.90
CHF 65.14
+14.5%
9.7%CHF 72.00CHF 53.00CHF 61.057
Dec ’23CHF 57.55
CHF 64.86
+12.7%
9.3%CHF 71.00CHF 53.00CHF 57.357
Nov ’23CHF 55.30
CHF 67.07
+21.3%
8.5%CHF 77.50CHF 60.00CHF 46.367

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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