Fincantieri Valuation
Is FCTM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of FCTM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: FCTM (€5.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€6.96)
Significantly Below Fair Value: FCTM is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FCTM?
Key metric: As FCTM is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is FCTM's PS Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PS Ratio | 0.2x |
| Sales | €7.46b |
| Market Cap | €1.85b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.6x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 14.9x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers
How does FCTM's PS Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PS | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 1.8x | ||
SOM Somero Enterprises | 1.6x | n/a | UK£147.2m |
VSVS Vesuvius | 0.6x | 2.0% | UK£1.1b |
BOY Bodycote | 1.4x | 2.6% | UK£1.1b |
ROR Rotork | 3.7x | 4.4% | UK£2.8b |
FCTM Fincantieri | 0.2x | 7.2% | €1.8b |
Price-To-Sales vs Peers: FCTM is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (1.8x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry
How does FCTM's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Machinery Industry?
| 4 Companies | Price / Sales | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Avg. | n/a | 4.7% | |
FCTM Fincantieri | 0.2x | 7.2% | US$1.95b |
HMSG HMS Hydraulic Machines & Systems Group | 0.08x | 4.0% | US$81.11m |
HARL Harland & Wolff Group Holdings | 0.2x | n/a | US$19.39m |
| 4 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industry Avg. | n/a | 14.2% | |
FCTM Fincantieri | 0.2x | 77.6% | US$1.95b |
Price-To-Sales vs Industry: FCTM is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the UK Machinery industry average (1.7x).
Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is FCTM's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PS Ratio | 0.2x |
| Fair PS Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate FCTM's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | €5.70 | €6.03 +5.8% | 11.0% | €7.20 | €5.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Nov ’25 | n/a | €5.80 0% | 8.4% | €6.50 | €5.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Oct ’25 | n/a | €5.57 0% | 15.9% | €6.50 | €3.70 | n/a | 7 |
| Sep ’25 | n/a | €5.67 0% | 16.3% | €6.50 | €3.70 | n/a | 6 |
| Aug ’25 | n/a | €5.70 0% | 16.2% | €6.50 | €3.70 | n/a | 6 |
| Jul ’25 | n/a | €5.22 0% | 19.0% | €6.22 | €3.70 | n/a | 5 |
| Jun ’25 | n/a | €5.85 0% | 5.1% | €6.20 | €5.40 | n/a | 4 |
| May ’25 | n/a | €5.82 0% | 4.7% | €6.20 | €5.40 | n/a | 5 |
| Apr ’25 | n/a | €5.82 0% | 4.7% | €6.20 | €5.40 | n/a | 5 |
| Mar ’25 | n/a | €5.35 0% | 4.7% | €5.70 | €5.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Feb ’25 | n/a | €5.25 0% | 5.5% | €5.70 | €5.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | €5.25 0% | 5.5% | €5.70 | €5.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Dec ’24 | n/a | €5.25 0% | 5.5% | €5.70 | €5.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Nov ’24 | n/a | €5.25 0% | 5.5% | €5.70 | €5.00 | n/a | 4 |
| Oct ’24 | n/a | €5.10 0% | 7.7% | €5.70 | €4.50 | n/a | 5 |
| Sep ’24 | n/a | €5.10 0% | 7.7% | €5.70 | €4.50 | n/a | 5 |
| Aug ’24 | n/a | €5.10 0% | 7.7% | €5.70 | €4.50 | n/a | 5 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | €4.98 0% | 9.1% | €5.70 | €4.50 | n/a | 4 |
| Jun ’24 | n/a | €4.98 0% | 9.1% | €5.70 | €4.50 | n/a | 4 |
| May ’24 | n/a | €4.96 0% | 6.9% | €5.50 | €4.50 | n/a | 5 |
| Apr ’24 | n/a | €4.96 0% | 6.9% | €5.50 | €4.50 | n/a | 5 |
| Mar ’24 | n/a | €5.18 0% | 6.0% | €5.70 | €4.90 | n/a | 4 |
| Feb ’24 | n/a | €5.04 0% | 7.7% | €5.70 | €4.50 | n/a | 5 |
| Jan ’24 | n/a | €5.04 0% | 7.7% | €5.70 | €4.50 | n/a | 5 |
| Dec ’23 | n/a | €5.04 0% | 7.7% | €5.70 | €4.50 | n/a | 5 |
| Nov ’23 | n/a | €5.18 0% | 8.6% | €5.80 | €4.50 | n/a | 5 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
Discover undervalued companies
Forbo Holding
CHF 1.1b
Produces and sells floor coverings, building and construction adhesives, and power transmission and conveyor belt solutions in Europe, the Americas, Asia Pacific, and Africa.
FORNZ
CHF 788.00
7D
1.2%
1Y
-21.7%
Aalberts
€3.8b
Offers mission-critical technologies for aerospace, automotive, building, and maritime sectors.
0NX1
€33.99
7D
0.5%
1Y
-6.3%
Palfinger
€678.0m
Produces and sells crane and lifting solutions worldwide.
0MJ1
€19.58
7D
-0.9%
1Y
-16.3%