Alfa Laval AB (publ)

BATS-CHIXE:ALFAS Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 172.6b

Alfa Laval Valuation

Is ALFAS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALFAS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
SEK 463.97
Fair Value
9.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
17
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: ALFAS (SEK419.45) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK463.97)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALFAS is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALFAS?

Key metric: As ALFAS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ALFAS. This is calculated by dividing ALFAS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ALFAS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.4x
EarningsSEK 7.70b
Market CapSEK 172.65b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALFAS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALFAS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.1x
WEIR Weir Group
19.7x8.18%UK£6.2b
IMI IMI
19.9x10.62%UK£5.0b
SPX Spirax Group
23.5x8.50%UK£4.5b
ROR Rotork
25.3x12.71%UK£2.6b
ALFAS Alfa Laval
22.4x6.68%SEK 172.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALFAS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.4x) compared to the peer average (22.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALFAS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies30PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALFAS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.4x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (19.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALFAS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALFAS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ALFAS's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALFAS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 419.45
SEK 430.24
+2.57%
13.04%SEK 520.00SEK 345.00n/a17
May ’26SEK 395.65
SEK 436.47
+10.32%
13.62%SEK 530.00SEK 345.00n/a17
Apr ’26n/a
SEK 471.65
0%
14.09%SEK 570.00SEK 360.00n/a17
Mar ’26n/a
SEK 476.65
0%
14.12%SEK 590.00SEK 360.00n/a17
Feb ’26n/a
SEK 483.00
0%
14.63%SEK 590.00SEK 360.00n/a17
Jan ’26SEK 464.90
SEK 474.89
+2.15%
15.05%SEK 590.00SEK 360.00n/a18
Dec ’25n/a
SEK 464.33
0%
14.16%SEK 580.00SEK 360.00n/a18
Nov ’25SEK 485.75
SEK 456.17
-6.09%
14.47%SEK 580.00SEK 360.00n/a18
Oct ’25SEK 487.35
SEK 448.72
-7.93%
13.43%SEK 545.00SEK 360.00n/a18
Sep ’25n/a
SEK 445.94
0%
13.77%SEK 545.00SEK 355.00n/a18
Aug ’25n/a
SEK 447.71
0%
14.34%SEK 545.00SEK 325.00n/a17
Jul ’25SEK 462.80
SEK 439.41
-5.05%
14.23%SEK 535.00SEK 325.00n/a17
Jun ’25SEK 484.15
SEK 428.47
-11.50%
14.62%SEK 535.00SEK 325.00n/a17
May ’25n/a
SEK 414.35
0%
16.37%SEK 540.00SEK 297.00SEK 395.6517
Apr ’25n/a
SEK 379.12
0%
12.55%SEK 450.00SEK 285.00n/a17
Mar ’25SEK 381.55
SEK 378.71
-0.75%
13.15%SEK 475.00SEK 285.00n/a17
Feb ’25n/a
SEK 384.82
0%
12.80%SEK 475.00SEK 285.00n/a17
Jan ’25n/a
SEK 391.18
0%
12.60%SEK 475.00SEK 305.00SEK 464.9017
Dec ’24SEK 390.55
SEK 390.00
-0.14%
12.61%SEK 475.00SEK 305.00n/a17
Nov ’24SEK 363.10
SEK 388.76
+7.07%
12.48%SEK 455.00SEK 297.00SEK 485.7517
Oct ’24n/a
SEK 387.94
0%
13.00%SEK 455.00SEK 290.00SEK 487.3517
Sep ’24n/a
SEK 384.18
0%
14.55%SEK 470.00SEK 290.00n/a17
Aug ’24SEK 386.40
SEK 380.44
-1.54%
15.14%SEK 470.00SEK 267.00n/a18
Jul ’24SEK 380.90
SEK 370.84
-2.64%
15.95%SEK 470.00SEK 267.00SEK 462.8019
Jun ’24SEK 392.30
SEK 362.79
-7.52%
15.41%SEK 451.00SEK 267.00SEK 484.1519
May ’24SEK 375.80
SEK 359.94
-4.22%
16.80%SEK 451.00SEK 233.00n/a18
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 17 Analysts
SEK 432.04
Fair Value
2.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
17
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/18 05:35
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/16 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Alfa Laval AB (publ) is covered by 44 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullABG Sundal Collier
Pierre-Yves GauthierAlphaValue
Vladimir SergievskiiBarclays