Alfa Laval AB (publ)

BATS-CHIXE:ALFAS Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 192.6b

Alfa Laval Valuation

Is ALFAS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALFAS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALFAS (SEK471.8) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK523.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALFAS is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALFAS?

Key metric: As ALFAS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ALFAS. This is calculated by dividing ALFAS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ALFAS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio27.9x
EarningsSEK 6.90b
Market CapSEK 192.61b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALFAS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALFAS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.4x
WEIR Weir Group
24.8x19.0%UK£5.5b
SPX Spirax Group
25.1x9.0%UK£4.8b
IMI IMI
17.2x12.0%UK£4.4b
ROR Rotork
22.4x8.8%UK£2.7b
ALFAS Alfa Laval
27.9x9.6%SEK 192.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALFAS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.9x) compared to the peer average (22.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALFAS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies27PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALFAS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.9x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALFAS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALFAS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio27.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ALFAS's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALFAS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
SEK 459.94
0%
14.6%SEK 580.00SEK 360.00n/a18
Nov ’25SEK 485.75
SEK 456.17
-6.1%
14.5%SEK 580.00SEK 360.00n/a18
Oct ’25SEK 487.35
SEK 448.72
-7.9%
13.4%SEK 545.00SEK 360.00n/a18
Sep ’25n/a
SEK 445.94
0%
13.8%SEK 545.00SEK 355.00n/a18
Aug ’25n/a
SEK 447.71
0%
14.3%SEK 545.00SEK 325.00n/a17
Jul ’25SEK 462.80
SEK 439.41
-5.1%
14.2%SEK 535.00SEK 325.00n/a17
Jun ’25SEK 484.15
SEK 428.47
-11.5%
14.6%SEK 535.00SEK 325.00n/a17
May ’25n/a
SEK 414.35
0%
16.4%SEK 540.00SEK 297.00n/a17
Apr ’25n/a
SEK 379.12
0%
12.6%SEK 450.00SEK 285.00n/a17
Mar ’25SEK 381.55
SEK 378.71
-0.7%
13.2%SEK 475.00SEK 285.00n/a17
Feb ’25n/a
SEK 384.82
0%
12.8%SEK 475.00SEK 285.00n/a17
Jan ’25n/a
SEK 391.18
0%
12.6%SEK 475.00SEK 305.00n/a17
Dec ’24SEK 390.55
SEK 390.00
-0.1%
12.6%SEK 475.00SEK 305.00n/a17
Nov ’24SEK 363.10
SEK 388.76
+7.1%
12.5%SEK 455.00SEK 297.00SEK 485.7517
Oct ’24n/a
SEK 387.94
0%
13.0%SEK 455.00SEK 290.00SEK 487.3517
Sep ’24n/a
SEK 384.18
0%
14.6%SEK 470.00SEK 290.00n/a17
Aug ’24SEK 386.40
SEK 380.44
-1.5%
15.1%SEK 470.00SEK 267.00n/a18
Jul ’24SEK 380.90
SEK 370.84
-2.6%
15.9%SEK 470.00SEK 267.00SEK 462.8019
Jun ’24SEK 392.30
SEK 362.79
-7.5%
15.4%SEK 451.00SEK 267.00SEK 484.1519
May ’24SEK 375.80
SEK 359.94
-4.2%
16.8%SEK 451.00SEK 233.00n/a18
Apr ’24SEK 360.00
SEK 336.68
-6.5%
15.2%SEK 430.00SEK 233.00n/a19
Mar ’24SEK 338.10
SEK 327.39
-3.2%
14.9%SEK 410.00SEK 216.00SEK 381.5518
Feb ’24SEK 323.90
SEK 306.18
-5.5%
14.9%SEK 360.00SEK 216.00n/a17
Jan ’24n/a
SEK 295.89
0%
13.6%SEK 360.00SEK 213.00n/a18
Dec ’23SEK 302.00
SEK 292.41
-3.2%
12.9%SEK 345.00SEK 213.00SEK 390.5517
Nov ’23SEK 278.00
SEK 286.88
+3.2%
11.4%SEK 332.00SEK 213.00SEK 363.1017

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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