Stock Analysis

Would LPA Group (LON:LPA) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

AIM:LPA
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies LPA Group Plc (LON:LPA) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for LPA Group

How Much Debt Does LPA Group Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 LPA Group had UK£2.46m of debt, an increase on UK£1.95m, over one year. However, it does have UK£715.0k in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about UK£1.74m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
AIM:LPA Debt to Equity History January 25th 2025

How Strong Is LPA Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, LPA Group had liabilities of UK£6.41m due within 12 months, and liabilities of UK£2.96m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had UK£715.0k in cash and UK£5.42m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by UK£3.24m.

LPA Group has a market capitalization of UK£6.87m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine LPA Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year LPA Group wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 8.4%, to UK£24m. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, LPA Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at UK£250k. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of UK£325k. In the meantime, we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that LPA Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is concerning...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About AIM:LPA

LPA Group

Engages in the design, manufacture, and market industrial electrical and electronic products for rail, aerospace and defense, aircraft, infrastructure, and industrial markets primarily in the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, and internationally.

Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.