Hercules Site Services Plc

AIM:HERC Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£33.8m

Hercules Site Services Valuation

Is HERC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HERC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HERC (£0.43) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£0.22)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HERC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HERC?

Key metric: As HERC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HERC. This is calculated by dividing HERC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HERC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio59.3x
EarningsUK£570.24k
Market CapUK£33.84m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HERC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HERC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.3x
VANL Van Elle Holdings
9.8x19.7%UK£41.1m
SMJ J. Smart (Contractors)
29.3xn/aUK£49.0m
BILN Billington Holdings
5.7x-23.1%UK£58.8m
DIAL Diales
32.6x29.1%UK£13.9m
HERC Hercules Site Services
59.3x20.9%UK£33.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HERC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (59.3x) compared to the peer average (19.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HERC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Construction Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HERC 59.3xIndustry Avg. 13.6xNo. of Companies20PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HERC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (59.3x) compared to the European Construction industry average (13.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HERC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HERC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio59.3x
Fair PE Ratio13.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HERC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (59.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HERC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£0.42
UK£0.73
+72.5%
6.4%UK£0.80UK£0.70n/a3
Dec ’25UK£0.43
UK£0.73
+68.6%
6.4%UK£0.80UK£0.70n/a3
Nov ’25UK£0.46
UK£0.73
+58.6%
6.4%UK£0.80UK£0.70n/a3
Oct ’25UK£0.43
UK£0.65
+49.4%
16.6%UK£0.80UK£0.55n/a3
Sep ’25UK£0.51
UK£0.63
+24.2%
18.6%UK£0.80UK£0.55n/a3
Aug ’25UK£0.42
UK£0.63
+49.0%
18.6%UK£0.80UK£0.55n/a3
Jul ’25UK£0.39
UK£0.63
+64.5%
18.6%UK£0.80UK£0.55n/a3
Jun ’25UK£0.36
UK£0.63
+73.5%
18.6%UK£0.80UK£0.55n/a3
May ’25UK£0.32
UK£0.63
+97.9%
18.6%UK£0.80UK£0.55n/a3
Apr ’25UK£0.32
UK£0.63
+101.1%
18.6%UK£0.80UK£0.55n/a3
Mar ’25UK£0.32
UK£0.63
+101.1%
18.6%UK£0.80UK£0.55n/a3
Feb ’25UK£0.28
UK£0.63
+130.3%
18.6%UK£0.80UK£0.55n/a3
Jan ’25UK£0.24
UK£0.65
+170.8%
16.6%UK£0.80UK£0.55n/a3
Dec ’24UK£0.25
UK£0.65
+156.9%
16.6%UK£0.80UK£0.55UK£0.433
Nov ’24UK£0.25
UK£0.65
+160.0%
16.6%UK£0.80UK£0.55UK£0.463

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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