Hercules Site Services Plc (LON:HERC) will pay a dividend of £0.006 on the 22nd of August. Based on this payment, the dividend yield will be 4.2%, which is fairly typical for the industry.
While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Hercules Site Services' stock price has increased by 38% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.
See our latest analysis for Hercules Site Services
Hercules Site Services' Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage
Unless the payments are sustainable, the dividend yield doesn't mean too much. Based on the last payment, Hercules Site Services' profits didn't cover the dividend, but the company was generating enough cash instead. Generally, we think cash is more important than accounting measures of profit, so with the cash flows easily covering the dividend, we don't think there is much reason to worry.
Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 86.7% over the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along the course it has been charting recently, our estimates show the payout ratio being 45% which brings it into quite a comfortable range.
Hercules Site Services' Dividend Has Lacked Consistency
The track record isn't the longest, but we are already seeing a bit of instability in the payments. The annual payment during the last 2 years was £0.017 in 2022, and the most recent fiscal year payment was £0.0172. Dividend payments have grown at less than 1% a year over this period. The dividend has seen some fluctuations in the past, so even though the dividend was raised this year, we should remember that it has been cut in the past.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Hercules Site Services' earnings per share has shrunk at 81% a year over the past five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough. Over the next year, however, earnings are actually predicted to rise, but we would still be cautious until a track record of earnings growth can be built.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. To that end, Hercules Site Services has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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About AIM:HERC
Hercules Site Services
Engages in general construction and civil engineering businesses.
Moderate with reasonable growth potential.