Stock Analysis

AFC Energy plc's (LON:AFC) recent 15% pullback adds to one-year year losses, institutional owners may take drastic measures

AIM:AFC
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Key Insights

  • Institutions' substantial holdings in AFC Energy implies that they have significant influence over the company's share price
  • The top 25 shareholders own 44% of the company
  • Analyst forecasts along with ownership data serve to give a strong idea about prospects for a business

A look at the shareholders of AFC Energy plc (LON:AFC) can tell us which group is most powerful. We can see that institutions own the lion's share in the company with 49% ownership. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

And so it follows that institutional investors was the group most impacted after the company's market cap fell to UK£88m last week after a 15% drop in the share price. Needless to say, the recent loss which further adds to the one-year loss to shareholders of 34% might not go down well especially with this category of shareholders. Also referred to as "smart money", institutions have a lot of sway over how a stock's price moves. As a result, if the decline continues, institutional investors may be pressured to sell AFC Energy which might hurt individual investors.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about AFC Energy.

See our latest analysis for AFC Energy

ownership-breakdown
AIM:AFC Ownership Breakdown October 2nd 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About AFC Energy?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

We can see that AFC Energy does have institutional investors; and they hold a good portion of the company's stock. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see AFC Energy's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
AIM:AFC Earnings and Revenue Growth October 2nd 2024

AFC Energy is not owned by hedge funds. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is HBOS Investment Fund Managers Limited with 5.2% of shares outstanding. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 5.1% and 4.8% of the stock.

A deeper look at our ownership data shows that the top 25 shareholders collectively hold less than half of the register, suggesting a large group of small holders where no single shareholder has a majority.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. There are plenty of analysts covering the stock, so it might be worth seeing what they are forecasting, too.

Insider Ownership Of AFC Energy

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

Our information suggests that AFC Energy plc insiders own under 1% of the company. It has a market capitalization of just UK£88m, and the board has only UK£485k worth of shares in their own names. We generally like to see a board more invested. However it might be worth checking if those insiders have been buying.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 47% stake in AFC Energy. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for AFC Energy (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.