M&T Bank Valuation

Is 0JW2 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0JW2 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0JW2 ($221.16) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($400.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0JW2 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0JW2?

Key metric: As 0JW2 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0JW2. This is calculated by dividing 0JW2's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0JW2's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.2x
EarningsUS$2.26b
Market CapUS$36.64b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0JW2's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0JW2 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.7x
NWG NatWest Group
7.2x0.3%UK£32.0b
LLOY Lloyds Banking Group
7.2x4.2%UK£32.2b
STAN Standard Chartered
7.5x5.2%UK£23.6b
BARC Barclays
9x10.8%UK£38.2b
0JW2 M&T Bank
16.2x6.6%US$36.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0JW2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the peer average (7.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0JW2's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0JW2 16.2xIndustry Avg. 7.3xNo. of Companies45PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0JW2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the European Banks industry average (7.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0JW2's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0JW2 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.2x
Fair PE Ratio6.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0JW2 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0JW2 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$221.16
US$220.00
-0.5%
10.1%US$269.00US$170.00n/a19
Nov ’25US$193.02
US$206.51
+7.0%
9.9%US$240.00US$158.21n/a20
Oct ’25US$174.99
US$185.22
+5.8%
8.9%US$220.00US$158.21n/a19
Sep ’25US$171.26
US$182.06
+6.3%
8.1%US$220.00US$158.21n/a20
Aug ’25US$166.25
US$180.36
+8.5%
6.8%US$208.00US$158.21n/a20
Jul ’25US$150.83
US$166.46
+10.4%
6.0%US$182.00US$150.00n/a20
Jun ’25US$150.77
US$164.11
+8.8%
6.3%US$180.00US$150.00n/a20
May ’25US$145.39
US$162.09
+11.5%
6.7%US$180.00US$139.60n/a21
Apr ’25US$145.71
US$159.59
+9.5%
6.8%US$180.00US$139.60n/a21
Mar ’25US$137.62
US$157.50
+14.4%
6.5%US$180.00US$139.60n/a21
Feb ’25US$131.97
US$156.45
+18.6%
5.7%US$180.00US$139.60n/a21
Jan ’25US$137.44
US$150.51
+9.5%
8.5%US$180.00US$121.00n/a21
Dec ’24US$133.16
US$145.36
+9.2%
8.8%US$180.00US$121.00n/a21
Nov ’24US$111.63
US$145.63
+30.5%
8.6%US$180.00US$121.00US$193.0221
Oct ’24US$126.66
US$148.16
+17.0%
7.4%US$180.00US$133.65US$174.9921
Sep ’24US$124.89
US$152.26
+21.9%
7.6%US$180.00US$136.00US$171.2621
Aug ’24US$137.64
US$151.36
+10.0%
7.5%US$180.00US$136.00US$166.2521
Jul ’24US$124.75
US$149.46
+19.8%
10.0%US$190.00US$126.00US$150.8321
Jun ’24US$121.00
US$151.98
+25.6%
10.1%US$190.00US$126.00US$150.7721
May ’24US$125.24
US$151.98
+21.4%
9.9%US$190.00US$126.00US$145.3921
Apr ’24US$118.65
US$169.34
+42.7%
9.2%US$212.00US$150.00US$145.7120
Mar ’24US$154.48
US$175.61
+13.7%
7.3%US$212.00US$160.00US$137.6221
Feb ’24US$155.63
US$175.23
+12.6%
8.6%US$212.00US$160.00US$131.9721
Jan ’24US$145.73
US$189.52
+30.0%
13.3%US$255.00US$153.00US$137.4421
Dec ’23US$168.55
US$196.74
+16.7%
11.0%US$255.00US$170.00US$133.1620
Nov ’23US$168.72
US$194.29
+15.2%
13.4%US$255.00US$127.70US$111.6320

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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