Ford Motor Company

LSE:0P4F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$39.3b

Ford Motor Valuation

Is 0P4F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0P4F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0P4F ($9.92) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($6.46)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0P4F is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0P4F?

Key metric: As 0P4F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0P4F. This is calculated by dividing 0P4F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0P4F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio11.1x
EarningsUS$3.53b
Market CapUS$39.27b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0P4F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0P4F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.2x
STLAM Stellantis
2.7x-0.3%€35.5b
A005380 Hyundai Motor
4.8x5.8%₩51.8t
7267 Honda Motor
5.8x4.4%JP¥5.7t
VOW3 Volkswagen
3.6x9.2%€45.1b
0P4F Ford Motor
11.1x18.7%US$39.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0P4F is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the peer average (4.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0P4F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0P4F 11.1xIndustry Avg. 15.2xNo. of Companies15PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0P4F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (15.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0P4F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0P4F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.1x
Fair PE Ratio28.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0P4F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0P4F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$9.92
US$11.91
+20.1%
23.4%US$19.00US$8.00n/a24
Dec ’25US$11.22
US$12.18
+8.6%
21.7%US$19.00US$9.00n/a23
Nov ’25US$10.44
US$12.39
+18.7%
21.6%US$19.00US$9.00n/a23
Oct ’25US$10.72
US$13.02
+21.4%
21.3%US$20.00US$9.00n/a23
Sep ’25US$11.12
US$13.40
+20.5%
20.9%US$20.00US$10.00n/a24
Aug ’25US$10.86
US$13.63
+25.5%
19.4%US$20.00US$10.00n/a24
Jul ’25US$12.64
US$14.19
+12.2%
18.8%US$21.00US$10.00n/a24
Jun ’25US$11.96
US$14.11
+18.0%
19.2%US$21.00US$10.00n/a24
May ’25US$12.35
US$13.95
+13.0%
18.5%US$21.00US$10.00n/a24
Apr ’25US$13.26
US$13.70
+3.3%
19.2%US$21.00US$10.00n/a24
Mar ’25US$12.46
US$13.64
+9.5%
20.0%US$21.00US$10.00n/a23
Feb ’25US$11.65
US$13.70
+17.6%
26.8%US$22.00US$9.50n/a24
Jan ’25US$12.36
US$13.58
+9.9%
26.3%US$22.00US$9.50n/a22
Dec ’24US$10.48
US$14.04
+34.1%
25.5%US$22.00US$9.50US$11.2221
Nov ’24US$9.84
US$14.27
+45.1%
24.9%US$22.00US$9.50US$10.4421
Oct ’24US$12.62
US$15.42
+22.2%
22.0%US$23.00US$11.00US$10.7221
Sep ’24US$12.11
US$15.23
+25.8%
23.1%US$23.00US$11.00US$11.1221
Aug ’24US$13.29
US$14.81
+11.5%
22.3%US$23.00US$11.00US$10.8620
Jul ’24US$15.16
US$14.11
-6.9%
23.1%US$22.00US$10.00US$12.6420
Jun ’24US$12.09
US$13.95
+15.4%
23.3%US$22.00US$10.00US$11.9620
May ’24US$11.86
US$13.72
+15.7%
21.8%US$21.00US$10.00US$12.3521
Apr ’24US$12.48
US$14.14
+13.4%
24.5%US$22.00US$10.00US$13.2621
Mar ’24US$12.42
US$14.29
+15.0%
23.8%US$22.00US$10.00US$12.4621
Feb ’24US$13.64
US$15.00
+9.9%
27.0%US$24.00US$10.00US$11.6520
Jan ’24US$11.44
US$15.60
+36.4%
29.6%US$28.00US$10.00US$12.3620
Dec ’23US$14.12
US$15.60
+10.5%
29.6%US$28.00US$10.00US$10.4820

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 16:46
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Ford Motor Company is covered by 56 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Dan LevyBarclays