Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG

LSE:09II Stock Report

Market Cap: €53.7b

Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche Valuation

Is 09II undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 09II when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 09II (€58.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€68.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 09II is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 09II?

Key metric: As 09II is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 09II. This is calculated by dividing 09II's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 09II's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.5x
Earnings€3.98b
Market Cap€53.69b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 09II's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 09II vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.7x
MBG Mercedes-Benz Group
4.7x3.1%€50.2b
GM General Motors
5.6x-10.2%US$61.0b
VOW3 Volkswagen
3.3x9.6%€41.2b
BMW Bayerische Motoren Werke
5.4x3.9%€42.9b
09II Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche
13.5x11.3%€53.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 09II is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the peer average (4.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 09II's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
09II 13.5xIndustry Avg. 15.9xNo. of Companies14PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 09II is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (15.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 09II's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

09II PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.5x
Fair PE Ratio25.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 09II is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 09II forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€58.69
€82.17
+40.0%
12.5%€110.00€65.00n/a19
Nov ’25€65.15
€82.54
+26.7%
12.0%€110.00€65.00n/a19
Oct ’25€71.01
€84.80
+19.4%
11.6%€110.00€65.00n/a19
Sep ’25€70.54
€86.64
+22.8%
12.2%€110.00€65.00n/a19
Aug ’25€69.18
€87.01
+25.8%
11.4%€110.00€72.00n/a19
Jul ’25€69.87
€95.62
+36.8%
11.0%€110.00€72.00n/a19
Jun ’25€76.20
€97.41
+27.8%
11.0%€120.00€72.00n/a19
May ’25€83.70
€100.07
+19.6%
8.9%€120.00€82.00n/a19
Apr ’25€92.71
€98.23
+6.0%
9.8%€120.00€80.00n/a19
Mar ’25€85.75
€95.02
+10.8%
10.1%€120.00€80.00n/a20
Feb ’25€79.39
€95.76
+20.6%
10.0%€120.00€80.00n/a19
Jan ’25€79.98
€102.30
+27.9%
10.8%€124.00€90.00n/a18
Dec ’24€83.89
€105.24
+25.4%
11.1%€126.00€90.00n/a18
Nov ’24€82.50
€108.30
+31.3%
14.0%€141.00€90.00€65.1518
Oct ’24€89.33
€115.41
+29.2%
12.2%€140.00€90.00€71.0118
Sep ’24€98.74
€117.63
+19.1%
13.2%€152.00€90.00€70.5418
Aug ’24€112.10
€118.41
+5.6%
13.1%€152.00€90.00€69.1818
Jul ’24€112.89
€119.67
+6.0%
12.1%€149.00€87.00€69.8717
Jun ’24€115.97
€119.91
+3.4%
12.1%€149.00€87.00€76.2017
May ’24€113.50
€119.32
+5.1%
13.0%€149.00€87.00€83.7017
Apr ’24€117.23
€115.49
-1.5%
13.2%€140.00€87.00€92.7117
Mar ’24€113.97
€112.28
-1.5%
11.9%€140.00€85.00€85.7516
Feb ’24€109.48
€111.84
+2.2%
11.7%€140.00€85.00€79.3916
Jan ’24€94.67
€108.10
+14.2%
13.3%€140.00€82.50€79.9817
Dec ’23€107.43
€108.11
+0.6%
13.7%€140.00€82.50€83.8916
Nov ’23€105.56
€97.45
-7.7%
5.5%€105.00€90.00€82.504

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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