Sogefi Valuation

Is SGFM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SGFM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SGFM (€1.96) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€2.79)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SGFM is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SGFM?

Key metric: As SGFM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SGFM. This is calculated by dividing SGFM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SGFM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio3.3x
Earnings€71.52m
Market Cap€234.40m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SGFM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SGFM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.2x
ABDP AB Dynamics
34.8x9.8%UK£477.5m
TIFS TI Fluid Systems
11.8x21.4%UK£889.8m
CTA CT Automotive Group
4.5xn/aUK£32.8m
TRT Transense Technologies
17.5xn/aUK£27.4m
SGFM Sogefi
3.3x-49.1%€234.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SGFM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.3x) compared to the peer average (17x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SGFM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies9PE0816243240+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SGFM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.3x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (9.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SGFM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SGFM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio3.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate SGFM's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SGFM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€2.60
0%
16.3%€3.20€2.30n/a3
Nov ’25n/a
€2.60
0%
16.3%€3.20€2.30n/a3
Oct ’25n/a
€2.63
0%
15.3%€3.20€2.30n/a3
Sep ’25n/a
€2.63
0%
15.3%€3.20€2.30n/a3
Aug ’25n/a
€2.63
0%
15.3%€3.20€2.30n/a3
Jul ’25€3.36
€3.83
+14.3%
8.1%€4.10€3.40n/a3
Jun ’25n/a
€3.83
0%
8.1%€4.10€3.40n/a3
May ’25n/a
€3.90
0%
9.6%€4.30€3.40n/a3
Apr ’25n/a
€3.83
0%
12.1%€4.30€3.20n/a3
Mar ’25n/a
€3.83
0%
12.1%€4.30€3.20n/a3
Feb ’25€1.89
€1.92
+1.8%
9.6%€2.10€1.67n/a3
Jan ’25n/a
€1.92
0%
9.6%€2.10€1.67n/a3
Dec ’24n/a
€1.92
0%
9.6%€2.10€1.67n/a3
Nov ’24n/a
€1.92
0%
9.6%€2.10€1.67n/a3
Oct ’24n/a
€1.54
0%
14.6%€1.75€1.23n/a3
Sep ’24€1.27
€1.54
+21.4%
14.6%€1.75€1.23n/a3
Aug ’24n/a
€1.54
0%
14.6%€1.75€1.23n/a3
Jul ’24n/a
€1.44
0%
10.8%€1.60€1.23€3.363
Jun ’24n/a
€1.44
0%
10.8%€1.60€1.23n/a3
May ’24n/a
€1.33
0%
17.6%€1.60€1.00n/a4
Apr ’24n/a
€1.25
0%
14.2%€1.50€1.00n/a4
Mar ’24n/a
€1.25
0%
14.2%€1.50€1.00n/a4
Feb ’24n/a
€1.14
0%
14.7%€1.35€0.95€1.894
Jan ’24n/a
€1.14
0%
14.7%€1.35€0.95n/a4
Dec ’23n/a
€1.14
0%
14.7%€1.35€0.95n/a4
Nov ’23n/a
€1.14
0%
14.7%€1.35€0.95n/a4

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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