Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings plc

BATS-CHIXE:AMLL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£890.2m

Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings Valuation

Is AMLL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AMLL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AMLL (£1.08) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£12.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AMLL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AMLL?

Key metric: As AMLL is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AMLL. This is calculated by dividing AMLL's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AMLL's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.6x
SalesUK£1.59b
Market CapUK£890.20m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AMLL's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AMLL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.5x
TIFS TI Fluid Systems
0.3x2.5%UK£889.8m
DWL Dowlais Group
0.2x-0.6%UK£752.0m
ABDP AB Dynamics
4.6x8.1%UK£477.5m
ORIENT Oriental Holdings Berhad
0.9xn/aRM 4.4b
AMLL Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings
0.6x12.5%UK£890.2m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AMLL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the peer average (1.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AMLL's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies6PS00.40.81.21.62+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AMLL is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the European Auto industry average (0.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AMLL's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AMLL PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.6x
Fair PS Ratio1.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: AMLL is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AMLL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£1.08
UK£1.71
+58.0%
44.3%UK£3.63UK£1.00n/a10
Nov ’25UK£1.16
UK£1.70
+46.0%
45.2%UK£3.63UK£1.00n/a10
Oct ’25UK£1.18
UK£2.26
+91.8%
38.4%UK£3.85UK£1.00n/a10
Sep ’25UK£1.49
UK£2.46
+64.7%
32.8%UK£3.89UK£1.55n/a10
Aug ’25UK£1.51
UK£2.47
+63.7%
32.9%UK£3.89UK£1.55n/a10
Jul ’25UK£1.43
UK£2.45
+71.8%
32.6%UK£3.85UK£1.50n/a10
Jun ’25UK£1.46
UK£2.48
+69.3%
32.5%UK£3.85UK£1.50n/a10
May ’25UK£1.38
UK£2.53
+83.2%
30.3%UK£3.85UK£1.58n/a10
Apr ’25UK£1.72
UK£2.77
+60.9%
25.8%UK£3.93UK£1.80n/a10
Mar ’25UK£1.80
UK£3.04
+69.2%
33.2%UK£5.50UK£1.80n/a10
Feb ’25UK£1.87
UK£3.31
+76.8%
27.2%UK£5.50UK£2.30n/a10
Jan ’25UK£2.27
UK£3.42
+50.8%
27.8%UK£5.50UK£2.30n/a10
Dec ’24UK£2.24
UK£3.55
+58.4%
25.7%UK£5.50UK£2.30n/a10
Nov ’24UK£1.98
UK£3.77
+91.0%
22.3%UK£5.50UK£2.60UK£1.1610
Oct ’24UK£2.88
UK£4.04
+40.4%
18.9%UK£5.50UK£2.60UK£1.1810
Sep ’24UK£3.48
UK£4.04
+16.2%
18.9%UK£5.50UK£2.60UK£1.4910
Aug ’24UK£3.88
UK£3.67
-5.4%
22.4%UK£5.50UK£2.60UK£1.5110
Jul ’24UK£3.57
UK£2.89
-19.1%
19.6%UK£4.10UK£1.95UK£1.4310
Jun ’24UK£2.65
UK£2.37
-10.4%
23.7%UK£3.10UK£1.60UK£1.4610
May ’24UK£2.42
UK£2.03
-16.0%
25.1%UK£3.00UK£1.32UK£1.3810
Apr ’24UK£2.28
UK£1.92
-15.9%
24.9%UK£3.00UK£1.32UK£1.7210
Mar ’24UK£2.09
UK£1.61
-22.9%
14.1%UK£2.00UK£1.20UK£1.8010
Feb ’24UK£1.70
UK£2.08
+21.9%
79.8%UK£7.00UK£1.12UK£1.8710
Jan ’24UK£1.53
UK£2.76
+80.7%
98.3%UK£8.53UK£0.90UK£2.279
Dec ’23UK£1.36
UK£2.76
+103.4%
98.3%UK£8.53UK£0.90UK£2.249
Nov ’23UK£1.07
UK£5.50
+416.5%
75.3%UK£14.30UK£1.10UK£1.988

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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