Neoen Valuation

Is NEOEN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NEOEN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NEOEN (€39.56) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€4.91)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NEOEN is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NEOEN?

Key metric: As NEOEN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NEOEN. This is calculated by dividing NEOEN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NEOEN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio66.6x
Earnings€90.70m
Market Cap€6.04b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NEOEN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NEOEN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.6x
VLTSA Voltalia
26.4x6.9%€880.0m
RUI Rubis
7.6x-0.8%€2.4b
VIE Veolia Environnement
18x12.7%€19.6b
MLHYE Hydro-Exploitations Societe Anonyme
10.2xn/a€14.8m
NEOEN Neoen
66.6x22.4%€6.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NEOEN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (66.6x) compared to the peer average (15.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NEOEN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Renewable Energy Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NEOEN 66.6xIndustry Avg. 15.6xNo. of Companies9PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NEOEN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (66.6x) compared to the European Renewable Energy industry average (15.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NEOEN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NEOEN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio66.6x
Fair PE Ratio23.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NEOEN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (66.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NEOEN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€39.56
€39.21
-0.9%
4.7%€39.90€34.00n/a9
Dec ’25€39.54
€36.85
-6.8%
12.1%€39.90€28.50n/a9
Nov ’25€39.41
€36.85
-6.5%
12.1%€39.90€28.50n/a9
Oct ’25€39.39
€37.15
-5.7%
11.6%€39.90€28.50n/a10
Sep ’25€38.72
€37.15
-4.1%
11.6%€39.90€28.50n/a10
Aug ’25€38.34
€37.15
-3.1%
11.6%€39.90€28.50n/a10
Jul ’25€37.34
€37.15
-0.5%
11.6%€39.90€28.50n/a10
Jun ’25€37.86
€36.37
-3.9%
12.3%€39.90€28.50n/a10
May ’25€28.76
€30.85
+7.3%
9.2%€35.50€26.20n/a13
Apr ’25€26.24
€30.32
+15.5%
10.4%€35.50€26.20n/a13
Mar ’25€23.78
€31.22
+31.3%
13.0%€41.00€26.50n/a13
Feb ’25€26.62
€31.62
+18.8%
13.4%€41.00€26.50n/a13
Jan ’25€30.28
€31.31
+3.4%
14.3%€41.00€26.00n/a13
Dec ’24€27.62
€31.42
+13.8%
14.1%€41.00€26.00€39.5413
Nov ’24€24.74
€32.06
+29.6%
14.5%€41.00€26.00€39.4113
Oct ’24€27.62
€33.11
+19.9%
13.0%€41.00€27.00€39.3911
Sep ’24€27.28
€33.11
+21.4%
13.0%€41.00€27.00€38.7211
Aug ’24€29.06
€34.32
+18.1%
16.0%€46.70€27.00€38.3412
Jul ’24€29.00
€33.95
+17.1%
16.5%€46.70€27.00€37.3412
Jun ’24€28.30
€35.18
+24.3%
16.0%€46.70€27.30€37.8611
May ’24€27.20
€36.91
+35.7%
13.0%€46.70€29.45€28.7610
Apr ’24€28.95
€37.71
+30.3%
12.1%€46.70€29.45€26.2410
Mar ’24€29.41
€40.82
+38.8%
11.4%€47.00€31.90€23.7811
Feb ’24€34.51
€39.08
+13.3%
18.6%€47.00€20.00€26.6212
Jan ’24€37.61
€39.07
+3.9%
18.4%€47.00€20.00€30.2812
Dec ’23€39.00
€38.48
-1.3%
17.7%€45.90€20.00€27.6212

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 11:07
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Neoen S.A. is covered by 21 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Auguste Deryckx LienartAlphaValue
Naisheng CuiBarclays
Lydia RainforthBarclays