Stock Analysis

Is Wavestone (EPA:WAVE) A Risky Investment?

ENXTPA:WAVE
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Wavestone SA (EPA:WAVE) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Wavestone

What Is Wavestone's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Wavestone had €40.9m of debt at September 2023, down from €44.2m a year prior. But it also has €54.1m in cash to offset that, meaning it has €13.3m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTPA:WAVE Debt to Equity History March 28th 2024

A Look At Wavestone's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Wavestone had liabilities of €147.3m due within a year, and liabilities of €58.2m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €54.1m in cash and €186.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast €35.1m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This short term liquidity is a sign that Wavestone could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Wavestone boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

And we also note warmly that Wavestone grew its EBIT by 16% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Wavestone's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Wavestone has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Wavestone recorded free cash flow worth 63% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Wavestone has net cash of €13.3m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 16% over the last year. So is Wavestone's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Wavestone is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Wavestone is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.