Stock Analysis

The Infotel SA (EPA:INF) Full-Year Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts

ENXTPA:INF
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Infotel SA (EPA:INF) came out with its yearly results last week, and we wanted to see how the business is performing and what industry forecasters think of the company following this report. It was an okay result overall, with revenues coming in at €308m, roughly what the analysts had been expecting. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

View our latest analysis for Infotel

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ENXTPA:INF Earnings and Revenue Growth March 17th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Infotel's five analysts is for revenues of €316.1m in 2024. This would reflect an okay 2.8% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €315.8m and earnings per share (EPS) of €2.77 in 2024. So we can see that while the consensus made no real change to its revenue estimates, it also no longer provides an earnings per share estimate. This suggests that revenues are what the market is focusing on after the latest results.

We'd also point out that thatthe analysts have made no major changes to their price target of €54.90. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Infotel at €57.60 per share, while the most bearish prices it at €52.00. This is a very narrow spread of estimates, implying either that Infotel is an easy company to value, or - more likely - the analysts are relying heavily on some key assumptions.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Infotel's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Infotel's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2024 expected to display 2.8% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 6.5% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 6.7% per year. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Infotel is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.

The Bottom Line

The clear take away from these updates is that the analysts made no change to their revenue estimates for next year, with the business apparently performing in line with their models. On the plus side, there were no major changes to revenue estimates; although forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

We have estimates for Infotel from its five analysts out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Infotel that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.