Advicenne Valuation

Is ALDVI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALDVI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ALDVI's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate ALDVI's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALDVI?

Key metric: As ALDVI is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ALDVI. This is calculated by dividing ALDVI's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ALDVI's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio7.8x
Sales€3.33m
Market Cap€26.35m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ALDVI's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ALDVI vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.7x
AB AB Science
47.6xn/a€53.6m
EAPI Euroapi
0.3x-0.2%€325.2m
BOI Boiron
1.1x3.6%€519.1m
MEDCL MedinCell
41.8x50.6%€500.3m
ALDVI Advicenne
7.8x31.8%€26.3m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ALDVI is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.8x) compared to the peer average (22.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ALDVI's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Pharmaceuticals Industry?

23 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ALDVI 7.8xIndustry Avg. 3.1xNo. of Companies33PS0612182430+
23 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ALDVI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.8x) compared to the European Pharmaceuticals industry average (3.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALDVI's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALDVI PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio7.8x
Fair PS Ratio3.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: ALDVI is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (7.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALDVI forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€2.11
€5.25
+148.8%
23.8%€6.50€4.00n/a2
Nov ’25€2.00
€5.25
+162.5%
23.8%€6.50€4.00n/a2
Oct ’25€1.88
€5.25
+179.3%
23.8%€6.50€4.00n/a2
Sep ’25€1.13
€6.90
+510.6%
5.8%€7.30€6.50n/a2
Aug ’25€1.08
€6.90
+541.3%
5.8%€7.30€6.50n/a2
Jul ’25€1.92
€6.90
+258.6%
5.8%€7.30€6.50n/a2
Jun ’25€2.75
€6.90
+150.9%
5.8%€7.30€6.50n/a2
May ’25€1.61
€6.90
+328.6%
5.8%€7.30€6.50n/a2
Apr ’25€2.08
€6.90
+231.7%
5.8%€7.30€6.50n/a2
Mar ’25€1.20
€6.90
+475.0%
5.8%€7.30€6.50n/a2
Feb ’25€1.68
€6.90
+311.2%
5.8%€7.30€6.50n/a2
Jan ’25€2.66
€6.90
+159.4%
5.8%€7.30€6.50n/a2
Dec ’24€1.82
€6.90
+280.0%
5.8%€7.30€6.50n/a2
Nov ’24€1.80
€7.80
+333.3%
3.8%€8.10€7.50€2.002
Oct ’24€2.35
€7.80
+231.9%
3.8%€8.10€7.50€1.882
Sep ’24€3.25
€7.55
+132.3%
0.7%€7.60€7.50€1.132
Aug ’24€3.57
€7.55
+111.5%
0.7%€7.60€7.50€1.082
Jul ’24€3.80
€7.55
+98.7%
0.7%€7.60€7.50€1.922
Jun ’24€4.40
€7.55
+71.6%
0.7%€7.60€7.50€2.752
May ’24€3.80
€7.55
+98.9%
0.7%€7.60€7.50€1.612
Apr ’24€4.07
€7.55
+85.5%
0.7%€7.60€7.50€2.082
Mar ’24€3.97
€7.55
+90.2%
0.7%€7.60€7.50€1.202
Feb ’24€4.10
€7.55
+84.4%
0.7%€7.60€7.50€1.682
Jan ’24€4.57
€7.55
+65.2%
0.7%€7.60€7.50€2.662
Dec ’23€3.58
€7.55
+111.2%
0.7%€7.60€7.50€1.822
Nov ’23€3.67
€7.55
+106.0%
0.7%€7.60€7.50€1.802

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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