Stock Analysis
Take Care Before Jumping Onto Aelis Farma SA (EPA:AELIS) Even Though It's 29% Cheaper
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Aelis Farma SA (EPA:AELIS) shares are down a considerable 29% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 73% loss during that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Aelis Farma's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Biotechs industry in France, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
See our latest analysis for Aelis Farma
How Aelis Farma Has Been Performing
Recent times haven't been great for Aelis Farma as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Keen to find out how analysts think Aelis Farma's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Aelis Farma?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Aelis Farma's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.9%. The latest three year period has also seen a 19% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 189% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 34% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Aelis Farma's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On Aelis Farma's P/S
Aelis Farma's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Looking at Aelis Farma's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Aelis Farma has 3 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place
We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.
• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ENXTPA:AELIS
Aelis Farma
A clinical-stage biotechnology company, focuses on discovering and developing drug candidates for the treatment of central nervous system disorders.