ABIVAX Société Anonyme Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

ABIVAX Société Anonyme is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 1.9% and 63.8% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 38.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be -236.6% in 3 years.

Key information

1.9%

Earnings growth rate

38.8%

EPS growth rate

Biotechs earnings growth	5.4%
Revenue growth rate	63.8%
Future return on equity	-236.6%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	04 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

An Intrinsic Calculation For ABIVAX Société Anonyme (EPA:ABVX) Suggests It's 28% Undervalued

Dec 11

Is ABIVAX Société Anonyme (EPA:ABVX) Using Too Much Debt?

Jun 06

A Quick Analysis On ABIVAX Société Anonyme's (EPA:ABVX) CEO Salary

Dec 31

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ENXTPA:ABVX - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	6	-218	-201	-199	8
12/31/2025	6	-195	-182	-180	8
12/31/2024	8	-167	-123	-146	8
6/30/2024	9	-177	-155	-155	N/A
3/31/2024	7	-163	-126	-126	N/A
12/31/2023	4	-148	-97	-97	N/A
9/30/2023	4	-120	-77	-77	N/A
6/30/2023	4	-92	-57	-57	N/A
3/31/2023	4	-76	-56	-55	N/A
12/31/2022	4	-61	-54	-54	N/A
9/30/2022	8	-54	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2022	2	-47	-46	-46	N/A
3/31/2022	1	-45	-46	-46	N/A
12/31/2021	4	-42	-45	-45	N/A
9/30/2021	0	-41	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2021	0	-39	-46	-45	N/A
3/31/2021	0	-38	-38	-38	N/A
12/31/2020	0	-38	-31	-30	N/A
9/30/2020	0	-35	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2020	0	-32	-25	-24	N/A
3/31/2020	0	-31	-27	-26	N/A
12/31/2019	0	-31	-28	-27	N/A
9/30/2019	0	-27	-23	-22	N/A
6/30/2019	0	-23	-18	-17	N/A
3/31/2019	1	-19	-17	-16	N/A
12/31/2018	1	-16	-15	-15	N/A
9/30/2018	1	-14	-14	-13	N/A
6/30/2018	1	-13	-12	-11	N/A
3/31/2018	1	-12	N/A	-10	N/A
12/31/2017	0	-11	N/A	-8	N/A
9/30/2017	0	-11	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2017	0	-12	N/A	-11	N/A
3/31/2017	0	-13	N/A	-14	N/A
12/31/2016	0	-14	N/A	-16	N/A
9/30/2016	0	-16	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2016	0	-17	N/A	-24	N/A
3/31/2016	0	-17	N/A	-19	N/A
12/31/2015	0	-16	N/A	-15	N/A
9/30/2015	0	-14	N/A	N/A	N/A
6/30/2015	0	-12	N/A	N/A	N/A
3/31/2015	0	-8	N/A	N/A	N/A
12/31/2014	0	-5	N/A	-3	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ABVX is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: ABVX is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: ABVX is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ABVX's revenue (63.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the French market (5.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ABVX's revenue (63.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ABVX is forecast to be unprofitable in 3 years.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/27 15:51
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/27 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

ABIVAX Société Anonyme is covered by 16 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Eric Le Berrigaud	Bryan Garnier & Co
Oscar Haffen Lamm	Bryan Garnier & Co
Julian Harrison	BTIG

ABIVAX Société Anonyme Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target decreased by 18% to €29.18

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 18%

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 69%

Price target increased by 7.1% to €38.28

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 22%

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 29%

Recent updates

Abivax SA Announces Resignation of Philippe Pouletty as Director, Effective December 31, 2024

ABIVAX Société Anonyme has filed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of €150 million.

Abivax SA Announces Board Observer & Advisor Appointments

Abivax SA Announces First Patient Enrolled in ENHANCE-CD, the Phase 2b Trial of Obefazimod in Crohn's Disease

Abivax SA Reports Positive Interim Efficacy and Safety Analysis of Once-Daily 25Mg Obefazimod in Moderate to Severe Ulcerative Colitis Patients After 2- Years of Open-Label Maintenance

Does ABIVAX Société Anonyme (EPA:ABVX) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Price target decreased by 18% to €29.18

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 18%

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 69%

Price target increased by 7.1% to €38.28

Abivax SA Provides Updates on Ongoing Clinical Trials

Abivax SA Announces Presentation of Four Abstracts for Obefazimod in Ulcerative Colitis and Preclinical Colon Cancer Model At Digestive Disease Week 2024

Is ABIVAX Société Anonyme (EPA:ABVX) A Risky Investment?

Consensus revenue estimates increase by 22%

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Consensus revenue estimates decrease by 29%

ABIVAX Société Anonyme Appoints Ana Sharma as Global Head of Quality

Abivax Announces Update to Obefazimod Phase 2B Clinical Development Program in Moderately to Severely Active Crohn’s Disease

Abivax to Host KOL Investor Event to Review Phase 2B Clinical Data and Phase 3 Trial Design for Obefazimod in Patients with Moderately to Severely Active Ulcerative Colitis

New major risk - Share price stability

Price target decreased by 16% to €30.33

New minor risk - Share price stability

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

ABIVAX Société Anonyme has filed an IPO in the amount of $100 million.

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Abivax SA Appoints Patrick Malloy as Senior Vice President Investor Relations

ABIVAX Société Anonyme Announces Board Changes

Abivax Appoints Ida Hatoum as Chief People Officer

No longer forecast to breakeven

Price target decreased by 16% to €41.25

ABIVAX Société Anonyme, Annual General Meeting, May 05, 2023

No longer forecast to breakeven

Abivax Receives FDA Agreement on Pediatric Development Plan with Obefazimod in IBD

Price target increased to €49.30

Insufficient new directors

Abivax Sa Announces First Us Patient Enrolled in Global Phase 3 Program with Obefazimod in Ulcerative Colitis

Price target increased to €49.30

Abivax SA Announces Phase 2B Study Results of Obefazimod (Abx464) in Ulcerative Colitis Published in the Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology

Abivax SA Announces Phase 2B Study Results of Obefazimod (Abx464) in Ulcerative Colitis Published in the Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology

Abivax Phase 3 Program with Obefazimod in Ulcerative Colitis Progresses with US IRB Approval

Price target decreased to €45.50

Price target decreased to €56.80

Is ABIVAX Société Anonyme (EPA:ABVX) Using Too Much Debt?

Forecast breakeven date moved forward to 2022

Insufficient new directors

Abivax Reports One-Year Efficacy and Safety Data of Abx464 Phase 2B Maintenance Trial in Ulcerative Colitis

Forecast breakeven date moved forward to 2022

Abivax SA Announces the Detailed Results of the Dose Escalation Phase of Its Clinical Phase 1/2 Study Conducted with ABX196

Forecast to breakeven in 2024

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus forecasts updated

An Intrinsic Calculation For ABIVAX Société Anonyme (EPA:ABVX) Suggests It's 28% Undervalued

Abivax SA Receives FDA Feedback with Guidance on Advancing ABX464 into Phase 3 Clinical Testing in Ulcerative Colitis

Price target increased to €63.56

No longer forecast to breakeven

Price target increased to €58.63

Abivax Reports Excellent Phase 2A Clinical Safety and Efficacy Results with 50Mg ABX464 in Rheumatoid Arthritis

Is ABIVAX Société Anonyme (EPA:ABVX) Using Too Much Debt?

ABIVAX Société Anonyme Reports Excellent Efficacy and Safety of ABX464 in Phase 2B Clinical Trial in Ulcerative Colitis and Plans to Proceed to Phase 3

Price target decreased to €35.95

New 90-day low: €21.00

Abivax Follows DSMB Recommendation to Stop the Phase 2B/3 Mir-Age Covid-19 Clinical Trial Due to Lack of Efficacy

Abivax Publishes Data of ABX464 Induction and Long-Term Maintenance Phase 2A Ulcerative Colitis Study in the Journal "Gastroenterology"

Abivax Appoints Sophie Biguenet as Chief Medical Officer

A Quick Analysis On ABIVAX Société Anonyme's (EPA:ABVX) CEO Salary

New 90-day high: €28.95

Price target raised to €38.97

Abivax Establishes Clinical, Regulatory and Manufacturing Framework for ABX464 Phase 3 Program and Potential Commercialization in 2021

ABIVAX Société Anonyme to Report First Half, 2021 Final Results on Sep 30, 2021