NRJ Group Valuation

Is NRG undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NRG when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NRG (€7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€11.61)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NRG is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NRG?

Key metric: As NRG is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NRG. This is calculated by dividing NRG's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NRG's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.8x
Earnings€49.98m
Market Cap€541.79m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NRG's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NRG vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12x
MMT Métropole Télévision
6.4x-6.4%€1.4b
TFI TF1
7.7x12.6%€1.5b
VIV Vivendi
23.2x31.1%€9.0b
IPS Ipsos
10.6x10.2%€1.9b
NRG NRJ Group
10.8x0.02%€541.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NRG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x) compared to the peer average (12x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NRG's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the FR Media Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ALSRS Sirius Media
0.3xn/aUS$672.70k
No more companies available in this PE range
NRG 10.8xIndustry Avg. 11.2xNo. of Companies5PE0612182430+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NRG is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x) compared to the French Media industry average (11.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NRG's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NRG PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.8x
Fair PE Ratio8.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NRG is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NRG forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€7.00
€9.90
+41.4%
9.5%€11.20€9.00n/a3
Nov ’25€7.40
€9.90
+33.8%
9.5%€11.20€9.00n/a3
Oct ’25€7.70
€9.90
+28.6%
9.5%€11.20€9.00n/a3
Sep ’25€7.90
€9.90
+25.3%
9.5%€11.20€9.00n/a3
Aug ’25€8.02
€9.90
+23.4%
9.5%€11.20€9.00n/a3
Jul ’25€7.72
€10.27
+33.0%
7.4%€11.30€9.50n/a3
Jun ’25€8.00
€10.57
+32.1%
7.2%€11.20€9.50n/a3
May ’25€7.80
€10.43
+33.8%
6.4%€11.00€9.50n/a3
Apr ’25€7.86
€10.43
+32.7%
6.4%€11.00€9.50n/a3
Mar ’25€7.52
€9.73
+29.4%
9.4%€10.70€8.50n/a3
Feb ’25€7.76
€9.63
+24.1%
8.5%€10.40€8.50n/a3
Jan ’25€7.34
€9.63
+31.2%
8.5%€10.40€8.50n/a3
Dec ’24€7.00
€9.63
+37.6%
8.5%€10.40€8.50n/a3
Nov ’24€6.46
€9.57
+48.1%
7.9%€10.20€8.50€7.403
Oct ’24€6.98
€9.57
+37.1%
7.9%€10.20€8.50€7.703
Sep ’24€6.72
€9.57
+42.4%
7.9%€10.20€8.50€7.903
Aug ’24€6.82
€9.35
+37.1%
9.1%€10.20€8.50€8.022
Jul ’24€6.88
€9.57
+39.1%
7.9%€10.20€8.50€7.723
Jun ’24€6.62
€9.60
+45.0%
8.2%€10.30€8.50€8.003
May ’24€6.98
€9.60
+37.5%
8.2%€10.30€8.50€7.803
Apr ’24€6.84
€9.60
+40.4%
8.2%€10.30€8.50€7.863
Mar ’24€6.58
€9.23
+40.3%
12.5%€10.10€7.60€7.523
Feb ’24€6.62
€9.17
+38.5%
12.1%€10.00€7.60€7.763
Jan ’24€6.78
€9.17
+35.2%
12.1%€10.00€7.60€7.343
Dec ’23€6.30
€9.17
+45.5%
12.1%€10.00€7.60€7.003
Nov ’23€6.50
€9.67
+48.7%
12.9%€11.00€8.00€6.463

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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