Stock Analysis

Here's Why High (EPA:HCO) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

ENXTPA:HCO
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, High Co. SA (EPA:HCO) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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What Is High's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2020 High had debt of €34.7m, up from €7.31m in one year. But on the other hand it also has €111.6m in cash, leading to a €77.0m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTPA:HCO Debt to Equity History March 27th 2021

How Healthy Is High's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that High had liabilities of €147.0m due within a year, and liabilities of €21.0m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €111.6m in cash and €39.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €16.5m.

Since publicly traded High shares are worth a total of €114.3m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, High also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for High if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 28% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine High's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While High has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, High actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Summing up

While High does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of €77.0m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of €16m, being 131% of its EBIT. So we are not troubled with High's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for High you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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