Stock Analysis

Eutelsat Communications' (EPA:ETL) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

ENXTPA:ETL
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Eutelsat Communications S.A.'s (EPA:ETL) dividend will be increasing to €0.93 on 18th of November. This makes the dividend yield 9.9%, which is above the industry average.

Check out our latest analysis for Eutelsat Communications

Eutelsat Communications' Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Based on the last payment, Eutelsat Communications' profits didn't cover the dividend, but the company was generating enough cash instead. Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 36.0% over the next year. Under the assumption that the dividend will continue along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 74% which would be quite comfortable going to take the dividend forward.

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ENXTPA:ETL Historic Dividend August 5th 2021

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from €0.76 in 2011 to the most recent annual payment of €0.93. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 2.0% over that duration. The dividend has seen some fluctuations in the past, so even though the dividend was raised this year, we should remember that it has been cut in the past.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Come By

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. In the last five years, Eutelsat Communications' earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 9.3% per annum. A modest decline in earnings isn't great, and it makes it quite unlikely that the dividend will grow in the future unless that trend can be reversed. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For instance, we've picked out 3 warning signs for Eutelsat Communications that investors should take into consideration. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high performing dividend stock.

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