Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That EuropaCorp (EPA:ALECP) Is Using Debt Extensively

ENXTPA:ALECP
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that EuropaCorp (EPA:ALECP) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

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How Much Debt Does EuropaCorp Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that EuropaCorp had €69.0m of debt in September 2023, down from €76.0m, one year before. However, it also had €41.6m in cash, and so its net debt is €27.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTPA:ALECP Debt to Equity History January 16th 2024

How Strong Is EuropaCorp's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that EuropaCorp had liabilities of €36.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of €73.2m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of €41.6m as well as receivables valued at €15.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €52.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's €39.9m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

EuropaCorp's debt of just -4.0 times EBITDA is clearly modest. But strangely, EBIT was only 1.0 times interest expenses, suggesting the that may paint an overly pretty picture of the stock. EuropaCorp grew its EBIT by 5.7% in the last year. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if EuropaCorp can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, EuropaCorp actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

We feel some trepidation about EuropaCorp's difficulty interest cover, but we've got positives to focus on, too. For example, its net debt to EBITDA and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. We think that EuropaCorp's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for EuropaCorp you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.