Verallia Société Anonyme

ENXTPA:VRLA Stock Report

Market Cap: €3.1b

Verallia Société Anonyme Valuation

Is VRLA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VRLA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VRLA (€26.34) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€89.46)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VRLA is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VRLA?

Key metric: As VRLA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VRLA. This is calculated by dividing VRLA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VRLA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.9x
Earnings€283.30m
Market Cap€3.10b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VRLA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VRLA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.1x
SBT Oeneo
22.1x9.1%€637.9m
ALGIL Groupe Guillin
7.1x-9.2%€496.3m
RBT Robertet
21x8.0%€1.8b
VCT Vicat
6.1x2.3%€1.6b
VRLA Verallia Société Anonyme
10.9x10.5%€3.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VRLA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the peer average (14.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VRLA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Packaging Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VRLA 10.9xIndustry Avg. 18.0xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VRLA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the European Packaging industry average (17.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VRLA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VRLA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.9x
Fair PE Ratio13.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VRLA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VRLA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€26.34
€36.09
+37.0%
12.3%€43.00€29.00n/a12
Nov ’25€27.18
€36.59
+34.6%
11.0%€43.00€29.00n/a12
Oct ’25€25.72
€39.18
+52.3%
12.3%€46.00€29.00n/a12
Sep ’25€26.88
€40.43
+50.4%
8.8%€46.00€32.70n/a12
Aug ’25€27.22
€40.43
+48.5%
8.8%€46.00€32.70n/a12
Jul ’25€34.20
€46.11
+34.8%
7.3%€50.00€41.00n/a11
Jun ’25€37.96
€45.93
+21.0%
7.7%€50.00€41.00n/a11
May ’25€36.20
€45.11
+24.6%
8.2%€50.00€40.64n/a10
Apr ’25€36.04
€44.91
+24.6%
8.2%€50.00€40.64n/a10
Mar ’25€35.20
€44.71
+27.0%
8.6%€50.00€40.64n/a10
Feb ’25€32.22
€47.84
+48.5%
8.9%€54.00€40.87n/a10
Jan ’25€34.86
€48.64
+39.5%
10.4%€57.00€40.87n/a10
Dec ’24€32.70
€49.06
+50.0%
9.9%€57.00€41.00n/a10
Nov ’24€31.04
€49.26
+58.7%
9.8%€57.00€41.00€27.1810
Oct ’24€37.28
€51.18
+37.3%
11.0%€64.00€43.10€25.729
Sep ’24€44.44
€51.26
+15.3%
10.8%€64.00€43.10€26.8810
Aug ’24€40.46
€49.56
+22.5%
12.0%€64.00€43.00€27.2210
Jul ’24€34.38
€46.75
+36.0%
9.6%€56.00€42.00€34.2010
Jun ’24€32.76
€47.83
+46.0%
8.3%€56.00€44.00€37.969
May ’24€36.82
€48.05
+30.5%
8.0%€56.00€44.00€36.2010
Apr ’24€39.30
€47.35
+20.5%
9.4%€56.00€39.00€36.0410
Mar ’24€37.24
€46.29
+24.3%
7.8%€50.90€39.00€35.2010
Feb ’24€34.52
€43.02
+24.6%
7.9%€50.90€39.00€32.228
Jan ’24€31.68
€43.45
+37.2%
7.9%€50.90€39.00€34.867
Dec ’23€29.82
€43.65
+46.4%
8.4%€50.90€39.00€32.706
Nov ’23€28.16
€40.64
+44.3%
14.1%€50.90€31.00€31.0410

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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