We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

L.D.C Valuation

Is LOUP undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LOUP?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LOUP key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4.1x
PEG Ratio1.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LOUP's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LOUP vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.3x
UNBL Unibel
4.6xn/a€2.0b
SAVE Savencia
9.5x10.1%€838.2m
BN Danone
20.1x10.7%€31.4b
ALFLE Fleury Michon
63.1x109.3%€80.6m
LOUP L.D.C
10.7x5.8%€1.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LOUP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x) compared to the peer average (24.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LOUP's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a11.7%
n/an/an/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LOUP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x) compared to the European Food industry average (15.7x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LOUP's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LOUP PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.7x
Fair PE Ratio16x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LOUP is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LOUP when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LOUP (€109.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€273.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LOUP is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LOUP forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€109.50
€136.26
+24.4%
6.6%€149.00€123.00n/a5
Jan ’24€107.50
€136.26
+26.8%
6.6%€149.00€123.00n/a5
Dec ’23€103.50
€136.26
+31.7%
6.6%€149.00€123.00n/a5
Nov ’23€94.00
€127.04
+35.1%
9.0%€149.00€117.00n/a5
Oct ’23€92.80
€123.94
+33.6%
10.9%€149.00€108.00n/a5
Sep ’23€96.80
€121.66
+25.7%
12.0%€149.00€108.00n/a5
Aug ’23€97.20
€121.66
+25.2%
12.0%€149.00€108.00n/a5
Jul ’23€89.20
€120.96
+35.6%
12.6%€149.00€106.80n/a5
Jun ’23€93.00
€120.96
+30.1%
12.6%€149.00€106.80n/a5
May ’23€87.20
€120.46
+38.1%
13.0%€149.00€104.30n/a5
Apr ’23€86.00
€125.86
+46.3%
12.3%€152.00€104.30n/a5
Mar ’23€92.80
€135.06
+45.5%
7.8%€152.00€119.00n/a5
Feb ’23€100.00
€135.06
+35.1%
7.8%€152.00€119.00€109.505
Jan ’23€96.80
€132.66
+37.0%
9.1%€148.00€111.00€107.505
Dec ’22€94.80
€132.66
+39.9%
9.1%€148.00€111.00€103.505
Nov ’22€98.00
€134.12
+36.9%
7.7%€148.00€116.00€94.005
Oct ’22€99.60
€131.22
+31.7%
6.7%€143.00€116.00€92.805
Sep ’22€106.00
€131.22
+23.8%
6.7%€143.00€116.00€96.805
Aug ’22€103.00
€131.22
+27.4%
6.7%€143.00€116.00€97.205
Jul ’22€102.00
€128.90
+26.4%
6.9%€143.00€116.00€89.205
Jun ’22€101.50
€128.90
+27.0%
6.9%€143.00€116.00€93.005
May ’22€95.80
€125.42
+30.9%
10.6%€143.00€102.00€87.205
Apr ’22€97.60
€128.10
+31.3%
11.1%€145.00€102.00€86.005
Mar ’22€98.20
€131.94
+34.4%
12.4%€148.00€102.00€92.805
Feb ’22€99.20
€131.94
+33.0%
12.4%€148.00€102.00€100.005

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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