Stock Analysis

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Tikehau Capital (EPA:TKO) After Its Yearly Results

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ENXTPA:TKO

It's been a good week for Tikehau Capital (EPA:TKO) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest annual results, and the shares gained 2.1% to €21.80. The results were positive, with revenue coming in at €558m, beating analyst expectations by 5.3%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

View our latest analysis for Tikehau Capital

ENXTPA:TKO Earnings and Revenue Growth February 24th 2025

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Tikehau Capital's five analysts is for revenues of €790.4m in 2025. This would reflect a huge 42% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of €789.4m and earnings per share (EPS) of €2.18 in 2025. Overall, while the analysts have reconfirmed their revenue estimates, the consensus now no longer provides an EPS estimate. This implies that the market believes revenue is more important after these latest results.

We'd also point out that thatthe analysts have made no major changes to their price target of €26.87. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Tikehau Capital at €32.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at €22.50. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Tikehau Capital's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that Tikehau Capital's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 42% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 8.7% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 2.6% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Tikehau Capital to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The clear take away from these updates is that the analysts made no change to their revenue estimates for next year, with the business apparently performing in line with their models. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at €26.87, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.

At least one of Tikehau Capital's five analysts has provided estimates out to 2027, which can be seen for free on our platform here.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Tikehau Capital (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.