Is Safran SA (EPA:SAF) Potentially Undervalued?

By
Simply Wall St
Published
January 16, 2022
ENXTPA:SAF
Source: Shutterstock

Let's talk about the popular Safran SA (EPA:SAF). The company's shares saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the ENXTPA over the last few months. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s examine Safran’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

Check out our latest analysis for Safran

Is Safran still cheap?

Safran is currently expensive based on my price multiple model, where I look at the company's price-to-earnings ratio in comparison to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Safran’s ratio of 35.2x is above its peer average of 21.1x, which suggests the stock is trading at a higher price compared to the Aerospace & Defense industry. If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Since Safran’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

Can we expect growth from Safran?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ENXTPA:SAF Earnings and Revenue Growth January 16th 2022

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Safran's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 65%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? SAF’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above industry price multiples. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe SAF should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on SAF for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for SAF, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Safran, and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

If you are no longer interested in Safran, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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