Manitou BF Valuation

Is MTU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MTU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MTU (€16.04) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€22.87)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MTU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MTU?

Key metric: As MTU is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MTU. This is calculated by dividing MTU's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MTU's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio3.8x
Earnings€162.61m
Market Cap€618.38m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MTU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MTU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.7x
PIG Haulotte Group
4.9x9.9%€82.5m
MLCFD Compagnie de Chemins de Fer Départementaux Société Anonyme
25.4xn/a€24.8m
EXE EXEL Industries
7.4x3.8%€316.2m
THEP Thermador Groupe
12.9x6.3%€642.2m
MTU Manitou BF
3.8x-15.6%€618.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MTU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.8x) compared to the peer average (12.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MTU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MTU 3.8xIndustry Avg. 17.3xNo. of Companies29PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MTU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.8x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MTU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MTU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio3.8x
Fair PE Ratio7.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MTU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (3.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MTU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€16.04
€26.07
+62.5%
16.3%€35.20€22.00n/a6
Nov ’25€17.00
€26.40
+55.3%
16.0%€35.20€22.00n/a6
Oct ’25€18.36
€29.67
+61.6%
9.5%€35.20€26.00n/a6
Sep ’25€18.94
€29.67
+56.6%
9.5%€35.20€26.00n/a6
Aug ’25€20.75
€29.67
+43.0%
9.5%€35.20€26.00n/a6
Jul ’25€23.00
€30.00
+30.4%
9.0%€35.20€26.00n/a6
Jun ’25€27.70
€30.00
+8.3%
9.0%€35.20€26.00n/a6
May ’25€23.05
€30.00
+30.2%
9.0%€35.20€26.00n/a6
Apr ’25€25.35
€30.00
+18.3%
9.0%€35.20€26.00n/a6
Mar ’25€22.20
€29.08
+31.0%
12.4%€35.20€23.00n/a6
Feb ’25€20.25
€29.08
+43.6%
12.4%€35.20€23.00n/a6
Jan ’25€23.20
€30.67
+32.2%
14.8%€37.00€23.00n/a6
Dec ’24€21.30
€30.67
+44.0%
14.8%€37.00€23.00n/a6
Nov ’24€20.10
€30.67
+52.6%
14.8%€37.00€23.00€17.006
Oct ’24€22.70
€31.02
+36.6%
14.6%€37.00€23.00€18.366
Sep ’24€24.45
€30.85
+26.2%
14.9%€37.00€23.00€18.946
Aug ’24€25.20
€30.78
+22.2%
14.7%€37.00€23.00€20.756
Jul ’24€24.50
€29.45
+20.2%
14.5%€34.80€23.00€23.006
Jun ’24€21.25
€29.45
+38.6%
14.5%€34.80€23.00€27.706
May ’24€22.40
€29.78
+33.0%
15.1%€34.80€23.00€23.056
Apr ’24€21.50
€29.74
+38.3%
18.8%€34.80€20.00€25.355
Mar ’24€26.75
€29.38
+9.8%
19.0%€35.00€20.00€22.205
Feb ’24€26.40
€29.38
+11.3%
19.0%€35.00€20.00€20.255
Jan ’24€24.80
€24.24
-2.3%
17.3%€30.10€19.00€23.205
Dec ’23€21.85
€24.24
+10.9%
17.3%€30.10€19.00€21.305
Nov ’23€20.30
€24.36
+20.0%
17.9%€30.70€19.00€20.105

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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