Stock Analysis

Sogeclair (EPA:ALSOG) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At €0.94

ENXTPA:ALSOG
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Sogeclair SA (EPA:ALSOG) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 20th of May to €0.94. This makes the dividend yield 4.4%, which is above the industry average.

See our latest analysis for Sogeclair

Sogeclair Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 122% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 73%. Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.

If the company can't turn things around, EPS could fall by 15.0% over the next year. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, the payout ratio in 12 months could be 118%, which is definitely a bit high to be sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
ENXTPA:ALSOG Historic Dividend April 11th 2024

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from €0.40 total annually to €0.94. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.9% a year over that time. We like to see dividends have grown at a reasonable rate, but with at least one substantial cut in the payments, we're not certain this dividend stock would be ideal for someone intending to live on the income.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Sogeclair's EPS has fallen by approximately 15% per year during the past five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future.

Sogeclair's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Sogeclair that investors should take into consideration. Is Sogeclair not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.