Stock Analysis

We Think Airbus (EPA:AIR) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

ENXTPA:AIR
Source: Shutterstock

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Airbus SE (EPA:AIR) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Airbus

What Is Airbus's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Airbus had debt of €10.9b at the end of June 2023, a reduction from €11.5b over a year. But it also has €16.8b in cash to offset that, meaning it has €5.93b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTPA:AIR Debt to Equity History September 21st 2023

A Look At Airbus' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Airbus had liabilities of €54.5b due within a year, and liabilities of €49.4b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of €16.8b and €10.8b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €76.3b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage even relative to its gargantuan market capitalization of €102.3b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Airbus also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

The good news is that Airbus has increased its EBIT by 7.8% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Airbus can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Airbus has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Airbus recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 94% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Summing Up

While Airbus does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of €5.93b. The cherry on top was that in converted 94% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in €3.8b. So we are not troubled with Airbus's debt use. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Airbus, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.