Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin Société en commandite par actions

ENXTPA:ML Stock Report

Market Cap: €25.0b

Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin Société en commandite par actions Valuation

Is ML undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ML when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ML (€34.96) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€35.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ML is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ML?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ML key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.6x
PEG Ratio1.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ML's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ML vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.5x
RNO Renault
6.2x14.2%€13.6b
FR Valeo
13.7x41.6%€3.0b
FRVIA Forvia
12.1x39.7%€2.7b
5108 Bridgestone
14.1x8.4%JP¥4.6t
ML Compagnie Générale des Établissements Michelin Société en commandite par actions
12.6x9.7%€25.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ML is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x) compared to the peer average (11.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ML's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Components Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ML is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x) compared to the European Auto Components industry average (12.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ML's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ML PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.6x
Fair PE Ratio10.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ML is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ML forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€34.96
€34.90
-0.2%
11.5%€40.00€26.00n/a15
Apr ’25€35.52
€35.14
-1.1%
11.2%€40.00€26.00n/a14
Mar ’25€33.93
€34.93
+3.0%
10.6%€40.00€26.00n/a15
Feb ’25€30.61
€34.12
+11.5%
10.8%€40.00€27.00n/a15
Jan ’25€32.46
€34.05
+4.9%
11.0%€41.00€27.00n/a15
Dec ’24€31.05
€33.39
+7.5%
11.6%€40.00€25.00n/a15
Nov ’24€27.92
€32.99
+18.2%
13.3%€40.00€24.00n/a16
Oct ’24€29.07
€33.20
+14.2%
13.7%€40.00€24.00n/a15
Sep ’24€29.01
€33.20
+14.4%
13.7%€40.00€24.00n/a15
Aug ’24€29.76
€33.20
+11.6%
13.7%€40.00€24.00n/a15
Jul ’24€27.06
€33.10
+22.3%
13.9%€40.00€22.00n/a15
Jun ’24€26.71
€32.32
+21.0%
16.6%€40.00€20.69n/a16
May ’24€28.83
€32.32
+12.1%
16.3%€40.00€20.69n/a16
Apr ’24€28.15
€32.29
+14.7%
16.3%€40.00€20.69€35.5216
Mar ’24€29.68
€32.67
+10.1%
17.5%€42.50€20.69€33.9316
Feb ’24€29.09
€31.86
+9.5%
18.6%€42.50€20.69€30.6116
Jan ’24€25.99
€30.98
+19.2%
18.9%€42.50€20.69€32.4617
Dec ’23€27.04
€30.86
+14.1%
19.6%€42.50€20.00€31.0517
Nov ’23€25.27
€30.58
+21.0%
20.0%€42.50€18.31€27.9217
Oct ’23€23.16
€33.66
+45.4%
15.9%€42.50€20.69€29.0717
Sep ’23€24.09
€33.66
+39.7%
15.9%€42.50€20.69€29.0117
Aug ’23€26.83
€35.29
+31.5%
11.2%€42.50€27.50€29.7617
Jul ’23€26.17
€37.54
+43.5%
10.9%€43.50€27.50€27.0617
Jun ’23€30.31
€39.07
+28.9%
6.8%€43.50€35.00€26.7117
May ’23€29.76
€39.16
+31.6%
6.5%€43.50€35.98€28.8317
Apr ’23€30.85
€39.82
+29.1%
7.6%€45.75€35.98€28.1517

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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