Nokia Oyj

HLSE:NOKIA Stock Report

Market Cap: €65.8b

Nokia Oyj Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 1/6

Nokia Oyj has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 12%, while the Communications industry saw earnings growing at 7.1% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 4.1% per year. Nokia Oyj's return on equity is 3.7%, and it has net margins of 3.9%.

Key information

12.02%

Earnings growth rate

12.37%

EPS growth rate

Communications Industry Growth18.43%
Revenue growth rate-4.13%
Return on equity3.69%
Net Margin3.87%
Next Earnings Update23 Jul 2026

Recent past performance updates

Analysis Article Jul 31

We Think Nokia Oyj's (HEL:NOKIA) Solid Earnings Are Understated

Nokia Oyj's ( HEL:NOKIA ) recent earnings report didn't offer any surprises, with the shares unchanged over the last...

Recent updates

New Narrative May 18

NOKIA: Leveraging Open RAN Interoperability to Scale Private Networks and Capitalize on the Emergence of Industrial 6G Connectivity

Nokia Oyj is navigating an extraordinary structural recovery in 2026, successfully shedding its legacy as a hardware-locked vendor to become the primary architect of open, programmable telecommunications fabrics. The organization has centered its entire identity on the Cloudification of the radio access network (RAN) and the security of sovereign data pipelines.
Narrative Update Apr 29

NOKIA: Telecom Capex And Execution Risks Will Limit AI Networking Rerating

The analyst fair value estimate for Nokia Oyj has moved from €3.78 to €4.65, reflecting recent price target increases and a combination of upgrades and downgrades from several banks that cite updated views on margins, revenue expectations and Nokia's future P/E outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Nokia Oyj shows a wide range of opinions, with some firms lifting price targets and others taking a more cautious line.
Narrative Update Apr 14

NOKIA: AI RAN And Cloud Alliances Will Drive Future Earnings Rebound

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Nokia Oyj from €8.80 to about €9.84, reflecting updated expectations for slightly lower revenue growth, a modestly higher profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple, informed by a mix of recent upgrades, downgrades, and price target increases from major banks and brokers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Nokia shows a split tape, with both upgrades and downgrades, but the higher fair value estimate reflects that the more optimistic voices are assigning greater weight to improved execution and potential re rating in the sector.
Narrative Update Mar 31

NOKIA: AI And Cloud Alliances Will Support Future Earnings Rebound Narrative

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Nokia Oyj from €7.20 to €8.80, reflecting updated assumptions for slightly higher revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, alongside a series of recent target hikes and mixed rating changes across the Street. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Nokia Oyj has been mixed, with several downgrades on ratings but also a clear cluster of higher fair value and price targets from bullish analysts.
Narrative Update Mar 17

NOKIA: AI Network Partnerships Will Face Rating Pressure And Limited Upside

Narrative update on Nokia Oyj Analysts have lifted the updated fair value estimate for Nokia to €6.21 from €5.43, supported by a higher assumed future P/E of about 24x and a series of recent price target hikes to around €6.50 to €8.50, even as some firms have shifted ratings toward more neutral stances. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Nokia presents a mixed picture, with several firms lifting price targets while others shift to more neutral stances.
Narrative Update Mar 03

NOKIA: AI And Cloud Partnerships Will Support Steady Long Term Earnings

The analyst price target for Nokia has shifted modestly to €6.50. This reflects a mix of recent upgrades, a downgrade to Hold and slightly adjusted assumptions for revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E that leave fair value broadly unchanged.
Narrative Update Feb 16

NOKIA: AI And Cloud Demand Will Support Long Term Earnings Power

Analysts have lifted their average price target for Nokia Oyj, with recent increases such as Citi's €0.75 raise, JPMorgan's €0.20 bump and several upgrades to Buy reflecting greater confidence in the shares despite adjustments to growth, margin and P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Nokia Oyj points to a clear shift in tone as several bullish analysts adjust their views, even when individual price targets or assumptions differ.
Narrative Update Feb 02

NOKIA: Telecom Capex And Execution Risks Will Constrain AI Networking Upside

Analysts have lifted their price expectations for Nokia Oyj, with our fair value estimate moving from €3.59 to €3.78 as a series of target increases and upgrades, alongside updated assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, feed into a slightly higher valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Nokia Oyj includes a cluster of upgrades and higher targets, balanced by at least one more cautious reset.
Narrative Update Jan 19

NOKIA: Telecom Capex Constraints Will Limit AI Networking Upside

Analysts have lifted their price target on Nokia Oyj to about €3.59 from roughly €3.03, pointing to updated assumptions for slightly lower discount rates, higher revenue growth, a reduced profit margin, and a higher future P/E multiple, supported by a series of recent upgrades and target hikes following Q3 results and AI related commentary. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Nokia Oyj shows a mix of optimism around AI and network opportunities alongside more cautious views on execution, capital intensity, and the balance of risks.
Narrative Update Jan 05

NOKIA: AI Demand And U.S. Investment Will Shape Balanced Risk Ahead

Analysts have made a modest adjustment to their price target framework for Nokia Oyj, refining assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E multiples, while citing a mix of higher targets from several banks and more cautious views that focus on telecom capex risks and segment level valuation. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Nokia Oyj shows a split view, with some analysts highlighting improving growth optionality and others focusing on execution risks and valuation constraints tied to capital spending trends in telecom networks.
Narrative Update Dec 22

NOKIA: AI And Cloud Demand Will Drive Margin Expansion And Upside Potential

Nokia Oyj's analyst fair value estimate has been raised from EUR 5.75 to EUR 7.20, as analysts highlight improving margins, slightly stronger growth expectations, and an increasingly compelling AI driven equity story, despite mixed views on long term network infrastructure targets. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Nokia Oyj reflects a notable shift toward a more constructive stance, with several bullish analysts highlighting improving execution, a clearer growth algorithm, and a more compelling equity story tied to artificial intelligence and cloud driven demand.
Narrative Update Dec 08

NOKIA: AI Demand And U.S. Expansion Will Shape Balanced Risk Ahead

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Nokia Oyj modestly higher, lifting the implied price target by approximately EUR 0.04 per share. They are balancing improving AI driven growth prospects and supportive recent upgrades against tempered expectations for long term margins and network infrastructure multiples.
Narrative Update Nov 24

NOKIA: Recent Ratings Changes And U.S. Investment Will Drive Balanced Risk Ahead

Nokia’s analyst fair value price target was increased from €5.29 to €5.39, as analysts cited improving revenue growth and profit margin outlook. This adjustment is supported by recent upgrades reflecting AI potential.
Narrative Update Nov 05

NOKIA: Recent Downgrades Will Pressure Shares Amid China Network Setbacks

Nokia Oyj's analyst price target has increased significantly from €4.53 to €5.29. Analysts cite stronger-than-expected quarterly results and ongoing momentum in key business segments, despite market caution regarding telecom capital expenditures and technology partnerships.
Analysis Article Oct 28

Nokia Oyj (HEL:NOKIA) Looks Just Right With A 38% Price Jump

Nokia Oyj ( HEL:NOKIA ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 38% gain in the last month alone. Taking a...
Narrative Update Oct 22

Analyst Commentary Highlights Shifting Sentiment and Modest Price Target Increase for Nokia Oyj

Nokia Oyj’s analyst price target has increased modestly from €4.49 to €4.53, as analysts cite slightly improved revenue growth forecasts and a more constructive industry outlook. Analyst Commentary Recent updates from equity analysts present a mixed outlook for Nokia Oyj, reflecting shifting industry trends and company-specific considerations.
Analysis Article Oct 16

Nokia Oyj (HEL:NOKIA) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of €0.03

The board of Nokia Oyj ( HEL:NOKIA ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of €0.03 per share on the 6th of...
Narrative Update Oct 08

Expanding Fiber Networks And Hyperscaler Demand Will Drive Future Opportunity

Nokia's analyst price target has risen modestly from €4.45 to €4.49. Analysts cite improved sentiment following the company's strategic focus on networking infrastructure and perceived overdone pessimism in the shares.
Analysis Article Oct 02

Nokia Oyj (HEL:NOKIA) Has Announced A Dividend Of €0.03

The board of Nokia Oyj ( HEL:NOKIA ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 6th of November, with investors...
Analysis Article Sep 18

Nokia Oyj (HEL:NOKIA) Will Pay A Dividend Of €0.03

Nokia Oyj ( HEL:NOKIA ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of €0.03 per share on the 6th of November. This means...
Analysis Article Aug 29

Nokia Oyj (HEL:NOKIA) Is Paying Out A Dividend Of €0.03

Nokia Oyj ( HEL:NOKIA ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of €0.03 per share on the 6th of November. This makes...
Analysis Article Aug 09

Nokia Oyj's (HEL:NOKIA) Dividend Will Be €0.03

The board of Nokia Oyj ( HEL:NOKIA ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of €0.03 per share on the 6th of...
Analysis Article Jul 31

We Think Nokia Oyj's (HEL:NOKIA) Solid Earnings Are Understated

Nokia Oyj's ( HEL:NOKIA ) recent earnings report didn't offer any surprises, with the shares unchanged over the last...
Analysis Article Jul 18

Nokia Oyj (HEL:NOKIA) Has Announced A Dividend Of €0.0333

Nokia Oyj's ( HEL:NOKIA ) investors are due to receive a payment of €0.0333 per share on 7th of August. This will take...
Analysis Article Jul 18

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Nokia Oyj's (HEL:NOKIA) P/E

It's not a stretch to say that Nokia Oyj's ( HEL:NOKIA ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.7x right now seems...
Analysis Article Jul 02

Nokia Oyj (HEL:NOKIA) Will Pay A Dividend Of €0.0333

Nokia Oyj's ( HEL:NOKIA ) investors are due to receive a payment of €0.0333 per share on 7th of August. This takes the...
Analysis Article Jun 18

Nokia Oyj (HEL:NOKIA) Has Announced A Dividend Of €0.0333

The board of Nokia Oyj ( HEL:NOKIA ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 7th of August, with investors...
Analysis Article Jun 12

Return Trends At Nokia Oyj (HEL:NOKIA) Aren't Appealing

To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? One common approach is...
Analysis Article May 28

Nokia Oyj (HEL:NOKIA) Will Pay A Dividend Of €0.0333

Nokia Oyj ( HEL:NOKIA ) will pay a dividend of €0.0333 on the 7th of August. This takes the annual payment to 2.9% of...

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Nokia Oyj makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

HLSE:NOKIA Revenue, expenses and earnings (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 2619,9967742,6304,772
31 Dec 2519,8896292,6794,718
30 Sep 2519,7488492,6264,554
30 Jun 2519,2469092,5814,441
31 Mar 2519,1661,1982,5614,359
31 Dec 2419,2201,7042,5454,319
30 Sep 2418,6528892,4934,245
30 Jun 2419,0358872,5064,246
31 Mar 2420,0078092,5024,204
31 Dec 2321,1386352,5374,216
30 Sep 2323,1713,8482,7794,366
30 Jun 2324,7044,1282,8784,483
31 Mar 2325,1384,3042,9094,539
31 Dec 2223,7614,1932,8174,466
30 Sep 2223,8761,7272,8624,420
30 Jun 2223,0331,6522,7654,290
31 Mar 2222,4741,5322,7234,233
31 Dec 2122,2021,6322,7664,214
30 Sep 2122,341-1,7422,7274,081
30 Jun 2122,236-1,8842,7043,954
31 Mar 2122,015-2,1482,7153,896
31 Dec 2021,852-2,5202,8984,087
30 Sep 2022,2027402,8633,917
30 Jun 2022,5946252,9484,078
31 Mar 2023,1963553,0254,231
31 Dec 1923,315143,0614,434
30 Sep 1923,280-3593,1154,489
30 Jun 1923,052-5703,1844,547
31 Mar 1922,671-6463,2114,584
31 Dec 1822,563-5543,2774,598
30 Sep 1822,346-1,1283,2544,655
30 Jun 1822,388-1,1943,2754,733
31 Mar 1822,693-1,3513,3464,776
31 Dec 1723,147-1,4733,6524,859
30 Sep 1723,153-4303,4914,892
30 Jun 1723,549-3573,5124,887
31 Mar 1723,508-6003,4984,911
31 Dec 1623,641-7513,5384,935
30 Sep 1620,593-9123,0864,221
30 Jun 1617,733-6042,6413,516
31 Mar 1615,0753992,2342,803
31 Dec 1512,5601,1921,7812,080
30 Sep 1512,3991,0181,6282,079
30 Jun 1512,4513,1291,5902,081

Quality Earnings: NOKIA has a large one-off loss of €662.0M impacting its last 12 months of financial results to 31st March, 2026.

Growing Profit Margin: NOKIA's current net profit margins (3.9%) are lower than last year (6.3%).


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: NOKIA has become profitable over the past 5 years, growing earnings by 12% per year.

Accelerating Growth: NOKIA's has had negative earnings growth over the past year, so it can't be compared to its 5-year average.

Earnings vs Industry: NOKIA had negative earnings growth (-35.4%) over the past year, making it difficult to compare to the Communications industry average (18.2%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: NOKIA's Return on Equity (3.7%) is considered low.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/20 23:11
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/20 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Nokia Oyj is covered by 61 analysts. 23 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullABG Sundal Collier
Richard KramerArete Research Services LLP
James KelleherArgus Research Company