Stock Analysis
The board of Nokia Oyj (HEL:NOKIA) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 13th of February, with investors receiving €0.03 per share. This means that the annual payment will be 3.2% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.
View our latest analysis for Nokia Oyj
Nokia Oyj's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
Unless the payments are sustainable, the dividend yield doesn't mean too much. The last payment made up 78% of earnings, but cash flows were much higher. In general, cash flows are more important than earnings, so we are comfortable that the dividend will be sustainable going forward, especially with so much cash left over for reinvestment.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 85.3%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 39%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of €0.11 in 2014 to the most recent total annual payment of €0.13. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 1.7% a year over that time. It's encouraging to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth anyway, which makes this less attractive as an income investment.
Dividend Growth Could Be Constrained
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Nokia Oyj has impressed us by growing EPS at 38% per year over the past five years. However, Nokia Oyj isn't reinvesting a lot back into the business, so we wonder how quickly it will be able to grow in the future.
Our Thoughts On Nokia Oyj's Dividend
In summary, while it's good to see that the dividend hasn't been cut, we are a bit cautious about Nokia Oyj's payments, as there could be some issues with sustaining them into the future. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 2 warning signs for Nokia Oyj that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About HLSE:NOKIA
Nokia Oyj
Provides mobile, fixed, and cloud network solutions worldwide.