Stock Analysis
Nokia Oyj (HEL:NOKIA) has announced that it will pay a dividend of €0.03 per share on the 13th of February. This means that the annual payment will be 3.1% of the current stock price, which is in line with the average for the industry.
Check out our latest analysis for Nokia Oyj
Nokia Oyj's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. The last payment made up 78% of earnings, but cash flows were much higher. This leaves plenty of cash for reinvestment into the business.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 86.0%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 40%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.
Dividend Volatility
The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was €0.11 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was €0.13. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 1.7% over that duration. Modest growth in the dividend is good to see, but we think this is offset by historical cuts to the payments. It is hard to live on a dividend income if the company's earnings are not consistent.
Dividend Growth Could Be Constrained
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. It's encouraging to see that Nokia Oyj has been growing its earnings per share at 38% a year over the past five years. However, Nokia Oyj isn't reinvesting a lot back into the business, so we wonder how quickly it will be able to grow in the future.
Our Thoughts On Nokia Oyj's Dividend
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We don't think Nokia Oyj is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. As an example, we've identified 2 warning signs for Nokia Oyj that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About HLSE:NOKIA
Nokia Oyj
Provides mobile, fixed, and cloud network solutions worldwide.