Stock Analysis

Don't Buy Vincit Oyj (HEL:VINCIT) For Its Next Dividend Without Doing These Checks

HLSE:VINCIT
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Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Vincit Oyj (HEL:VINCIT) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 3 days. Typically, the ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. It is important to be aware of the ex-dividend date because any trade on the stock needs to have been settled on or before the record date. Accordingly, Vincit Oyj investors that purchase the stock on or after the 21st of March will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 2nd of April.

The company's next dividend payment will be €0.10 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of €0.10 to shareholders. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that Vincit Oyj has a trailing yield of 3.8% on the current share price of €2.62. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

See our latest analysis for Vincit Oyj

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Vincit Oyj paid a dividend last year despite being unprofitable. This might be a one-off event, but it's not a sustainable state of affairs in the long run. With the recent loss, it's important to check if the business generated enough cash to pay its dividend. If cash earnings don't cover the dividend, the company would have to pay dividends out of cash in the bank, or by borrowing money, neither of which is long-term sustainable. Over the last year it paid out 61% of its free cash flow as dividends, within the usual range for most companies.

Click here to see how much of its profit Vincit Oyj paid out over the last 12 months.

historic-dividend
HLSE:VINCIT Historic Dividend March 17th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. Vincit Oyj reported a loss last year, and the general trend suggests its earnings have also been declining in recent years, making us wonder if the dividend is at risk.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Vincit Oyj's dividend payments per share have declined at 2.6% per year on average over the past seven years, which is uninspiring. It's never nice to see earnings and dividends falling, but at least management has cut the dividend rather than potentially risk the company's health in an attempt to maintain it.

Remember, you can always get a snapshot of Vincit Oyj's financial health, by checking our visualisation of its financial health, here.

Final Takeaway

Should investors buy Vincit Oyj for the upcoming dividend? We're a bit uncomfortable with it paying a dividend while being loss-making. However, we note that the dividend was covered by cash flow. With the way things are shaping up from a dividend perspective, we'd be inclined to steer clear of Vincit Oyj.

With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of Vincit Oyj don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. For example, we've found 2 warning signs for Vincit Oyj that we recommend you consider before investing in the business.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Vincit Oyj is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.