Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Keskisuomalainen Oyj (HEL:KSLAV) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
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What Is Keskisuomalainen Oyj's Net Debt?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Keskisuomalainen Oyj had €61.1m in debt in December 2020; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has €19.9m in cash leading to net debt of about €41.2m.
A Look At Keskisuomalainen Oyj's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Keskisuomalainen Oyj had liabilities of €55.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of €63.6m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of €19.9m and €15.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €84.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Keskisuomalainen Oyj has a market capitalization of €141.2m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Keskisuomalainen Oyj's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.2 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 1k times, makes us even more comfortable. Shareholders should be aware that Keskisuomalainen Oyj's EBIT was down 66% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Keskisuomalainen Oyj's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Keskisuomalainen Oyj actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.
Our View
Keskisuomalainen Oyj's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Keskisuomalainen Oyj's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Keskisuomalainen Oyj you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About HLSE:KSL
Keskisuomalainen Oyj
Engages in publishing, printing, and distributing newspapers and magazines in Finland.
Slight second-rate dividend payer.