Stock Analysis

Does Huhtamäki Oyj (HEL:HUH1V) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

HLSE:HUH1V
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Huhtamäki Oyj (HEL:HUH1V) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Huhtamäki Oyj

What Is Huhtamäki Oyj's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Huhtamäki Oyj had debt of €1.81b at the end of June 2023, a reduction from €1.99b over a year. However, it does have €334.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €1.47b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
HLSE:HUH1V Debt to Equity History October 16th 2023

How Healthy Is Huhtamäki Oyj's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Huhtamäki Oyj had liabilities of €1.40b falling due within a year, and liabilities of €1.53b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €334.2m and €741.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €1.86b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Huhtamäki Oyj is worth €3.25b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Huhtamäki Oyj has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.0 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 5.4 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Unfortunately, Huhtamäki Oyj saw its EBIT slide 3.9% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Huhtamäki Oyj can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Huhtamäki Oyj recorded free cash flow of 21% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

On this analysis Huhtamäki Oyj's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and net debt to EBITDA both make us a little nervous. But its interest cover is a slight positive. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Huhtamäki Oyj stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Huhtamäki Oyj you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Huhtamäki Oyj is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.