HKScan Oyj (HEL:HKSAV) Is Finding It Tricky To Allocate Its Capital
When we're researching a company, it's sometimes hard to find the warning signs, but there are some financial metrics that can help spot trouble early. Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. Trends like this ultimately mean the business is reducing its investments and also earning less on what it has invested. And from a first read, things don't look too good at HKScan Oyj (HEL:HKSAV), so let's see why.
Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for HKScan Oyj:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.023 = €15m ÷ (€976m - €329m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2020).
Thus, HKScan Oyj has an ROCE of 2.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Food industry average of 8.2%.
See our latest analysis for HKScan Oyj
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how HKScan Oyj has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at HKScan Oyj. About five years ago, returns on capital were 3.1%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect HKScan Oyj to turn into a multi-bagger.
In Conclusion...
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 18% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. With underlying trends that aren't great in these areas, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
One more thing, we've spotted 1 warning sign facing HKScan Oyj that you might find interesting.
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About HLSE:HKFOODS
HKFoods Oyj
Operates as a food company in Finland, Sweden, Poland, and Denmark.
Undervalued with excellent balance sheet.