Stock Analysis

Neste Oyj's (HEL:NESTE) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

HLSE:NESTE
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Neste Oyj's (HEL:NESTE) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to €0.76 on 6th of October. Even though the dividend went up, the yield is still quite low at only 3.1%.

Check out our latest analysis for Neste Oyj

Neste Oyj's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

Even a low dividend yield can be attractive if it is sustained for years on end. Prior to this announcement, Neste Oyj's dividend was only 68% of earnings, however it was paying out 268% of free cash flows. This signals that the company is more focused on returning cash flow to shareholders, but it could mean that the dividend is exposed to cuts in the future.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 96.5%. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 61% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
HLSE:NESTE Historic Dividend September 28th 2023

Neste Oyj Has A Solid Track Record

The company has a sustained record of paying dividends with very little fluctuation. Since 2013, the dividend has gone from €0.127 total annually to €1.02. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 23% over that duration. We can see that payments have shown some very nice upward momentum without faltering, which provides some reassurance that future payments will also be reliable.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. Earnings has been rising at 2.9% per annum over the last five years, which admittedly is a bit slow. Growth of 2.9% per annum is not particularly high, which might explain why the company is paying out a higher proportion of earnings. This isn't bad in itself, but unless earnings growth pick up we wouldn't expect dividends to grow either.

Our Thoughts On Neste Oyj's Dividend

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Neste Oyj will make a great income stock. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Neste Oyj that investors should take into consideration. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.