Stock Analysis

Fondia Oyj's (HEL:FONDIA) Stock Has Seen Strong Momentum: Does That Call For Deeper Study Of Its Financial Prospects?

HLSE:FONDIA
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Most readers would already be aware that Fondia Oyj's (HEL:FONDIA) stock increased significantly by 16% over the past three months. Given that stock prices are usually aligned with a company's financial performance in the long-term, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely to see if they had a hand to play in the recent price move. In this article, we decided to focus on Fondia Oyj's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

View our latest analysis for Fondia Oyj

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Fondia Oyj is:

28% = €1.4m ÷ €4.9m (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each €1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made €0.28 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Fondia Oyj's Earnings Growth And 28% ROE

First thing first, we like that Fondia Oyj has an impressive ROE. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 8.0% which is quite remarkable. Probably as a result of this, Fondia Oyj was able to see a decent net income growth of 12% over the last five years.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Fondia Oyj's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 9.6% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
HLSE:FONDIA Past Earnings Growth February 18th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Fondia Oyj is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Fondia Oyj Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Fondia Oyj has a very high three-year median payout ratio of 179% suggesting that the company's shareholders are getting paid from more than just the company's earnings. However, this hasn't really hampered its ability to grow as we saw earlier. That being said, the high payout ratio could be worth keeping an eye on in case the company is unable to keep up its current growth momentum. You can see the 5 risks we have identified for Fondia Oyj by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

Moreover, Fondia Oyj is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of six years of paying a dividend. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to drop to 65% over the next three years. Accordingly, the expected drop in the payout ratio explains the expected increase in the company's ROE to 42%, over the same period.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Fondia Oyj has some positive aspects to its business. Especially the growth in earnings which was backed by an impressive ROE. Still, the high ROE could have been even more beneficial to investors had the company been reinvesting more of its profits. As highlighted earlier, the current reinvestment rate appears to be negligible. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.